TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x822c…a06a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick74cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Yufei Ren vs Britt Du Preebacked Britt Du Pree · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
ITF M15 Trier Men: Michael Agwi vs Liam Gavrielidesbacked Michael Agwi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Rares Teodor Pieleanubacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Ida Wobkerbacked Ida Wobker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Cincinnati Open: J.J. Wolf vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Hamburg: Carlos Taberner vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$8.22
ITF W50 Hamburg Women: Rasheeda Mcadoo vs Lola Gizabacked Lola Giza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$6.14
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.59
ITF Brisbane: Destanee Aiava vs Natsuki Yoshimotobacked Destanee Aiava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$6.53
ITF Brisbane: Chia Yi Tsao vs Natsuho Arakawabacked Chia Yi Tsao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Raffaele Ciurnellibacked Juan Cruz Martin Manzano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$6.7
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.59
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$36.54
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$29.11
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$14.69
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+52%+$9.35
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$12.08
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$5.88
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$11.86
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.56
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.27
All 14 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Skybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$8.37
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sunbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.85
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$14.79
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$7.37
Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$5.45
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.95
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempobacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistonsbacked Detroit Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
NBA Summer League: Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunderbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$9.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Team to Advancebacked Sabah FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.