NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x731bb718831113e4f5eee64362edc515e2e7ee273464d8b0adb5be16c498e4fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Warriorsof Golden State Warriors, Oklahoma City Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 0c | 5,600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Golden State Warriors | 72c | 4,200$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 28c | 2,977$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.48 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 1c | 2,242$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Golden State Warriors | 78c | 1,031$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.74 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 18c | 900$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 28c | 770$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 16c | 639.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…bb13backed Golden State Warriors | 73c | 463.22$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +114%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 12c | 338.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…82b5backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 30c | 330.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Golden State Warriors | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…0374backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 28c | 285.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 16c | 223.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Golden State Warriors | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…437bbacked Golden State Warriors | 71c | 197.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…0053backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 16c | 188$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…aa7cbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 22c | 180.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 17c | 165.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…c80fbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 10c | 159$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 20c | 158.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Golden State Warriors | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…4324backed Golden State Warriors | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 15c | 129.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Golden State Warriors | 72c | 124.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 27c | 115.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 27c | 111.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden State Warriors | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Golden State Warriors | 72c | 99.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Warriors | 79c | 96.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…620ebacked Golden State Warriors | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 28c | 74.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 28c | 74.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 27c | 72.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Oklahoma City Thunder | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189b…5718backed Golden State Warriors | 79c | 51.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…28c5backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Oklahoma City Thunder | 27c | 37.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x822c…a06abacked Golden State Warriors | 73c | 34.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Golden State Warriors | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Golden State Warriors | 69c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce3…599dbacked Golden State Warriors | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…587bbacked Golden State Warriors | 73c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.