Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Rares Teodor Pieleanu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b564510345f8560a76195c05e051f9aaa702127e421d1a0e2667c500bda22d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rares Teodor Pieleanuof Dragos Nicolae Madaras, Rares Teodor Pieleanu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 70c | 536.89$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.81 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 62c | 487.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.26 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 43c | 394.91$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.91 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 31c | 315.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.16 | 254 | 37%94 W · 160 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…459fbacked Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 61c | 165.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 38c | 151.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 34c | 141.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 26c | 131.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 710 | 45.4%322 W · 388 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 38c | 108.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 26c | 107.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 74c | 100.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 31c | 99.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 25c | 97.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 299 | 55.2%165 W · 134 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 25c | 74.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 75c | 70.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…6b73backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 78c | 46.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 73c | 43.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 75c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 74c | 39.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 45c | 34.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 39c | 26.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 77c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 281 | 68.7%193 W · 88 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 49c | 21.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 76c | 19.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822c…a06abacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Rares Teodor Pieleanuthis page
- ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Completed Match: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Rares Teodor PieleanuNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.