TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kingston: Harold Mayot vs Gustavo Heide

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Harold Mayotof Harold Mayot, Gustavo Heide
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x45e4…7e20backed Gustavo Heide52c20,188$10,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,445.9718747.6%89 W · 98 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Harold Mayot48c10,289$4,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,313.7911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Gustavo Heide19c5,247$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.428,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Gustavo Heide52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9972452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Harold Mayot48c4,889$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,542.533,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Gustavo Heide19c4,868$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.3647728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Harold Mayot77c1,939$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.893,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Harold Mayot48c1,520$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.4143743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Gustavo Heide53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79532637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Gustavo Heide56c1,287$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.64977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x134f…2b5dbacked Gustavo Heide57c1,230$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017044.1%75 W · 95 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Harold Mayot48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.21,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…107bbacked Harold Mayot47c1,098$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de2…11a9backed Harold Mayot47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8310346.6%48 W · 55 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Gustavo Heide5c1,048$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gustavo Heide29c1,048$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.698,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Gustavo Heide27c1,038$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.233644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Harold Mayot48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52048842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Harold Mayot48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Harold Mayot51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3924452.5%128 W · 116 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Harold Mayot51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.397459.5%44 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked Harold Mayot51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.399267.4%62 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Harold Mayot51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3911760.7%71 W · 46 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Gustavo Heide14c828.26$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3146435.3%164 W · 300 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Gustavo Heide34c787.86$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.92,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Harold Mayot63c771.33$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.161,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Gustavo Heide49c754.57$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.5110954.1%59 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Harold Mayot79c722.48$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.549,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Gustavo Heide14c682.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2222020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Gustavo Heide15c670.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.169232.6%30 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Gustavo Heide55c643.65$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35535450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Gustavo Heide32c640.55$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Harold Mayot49c599.99$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.997,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Harold Mayot49c592.88$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.372,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Gustavo Heide10c563.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5518947.6%90 W · 99 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Gustavo Heide53c561.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.314,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Harold Mayot74c560$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.31,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Gustavo Heide52c557.4$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.854445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Harold Mayot76c553.75$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.774,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5465…8b19backed Gustavo Heide51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Harold Mayot57c486.4$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.41,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Gustavo Heide27c482$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.145435.2%19 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Gustavo Heide49c478.28$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.363,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Harold Mayot51c470.59$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5945256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Harold Mayot47c453.62$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.425648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Gustavo Heide21c399.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.78934.8%31 W · 58 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc84c…3316backed Gustavo Heide52c375.89$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.811442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Harold Mayot58c367.62$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.621,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Harold Mayot76c363.85$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6619041.6%79 W · 111 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Harold Mayot74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.843,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Harold Mayot50c337.45$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2725542%107 W · 148 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Gustavo Heide52c323.21$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.075932.2%19 W · 40 L-8.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gustavo Heide29c312.91$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.954,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Harold Mayot68c310.1$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0572147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Gustavo Heide17c307.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5124231%75 W · 167 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Harold Mayot53c302.62$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.270254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Gustavo Heide51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024344%107 W · 136 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5056…fbb3backed Gustavo Heide32c284.38$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Gustavo Heide56c277.93$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.641,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Harold Mayot49c275$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3544442.3%188 W · 256 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x876f…bbb9backed Harold Mayot50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1253560%21 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Gustavo Heide40c230.85$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3428147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Gustavo Heide33c209.91$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2743347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f99…861dbacked Harold Mayot51c191.82$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.993943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed Gustavo Heide50c191.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.618343.7%80 W · 103 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Gustavo Heide52c188.94$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2530644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Gustavo Heide43c188.37$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8130642.2%129 W · 177 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Gustavo Heide52c185.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.293246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Gustavo Heide52c185.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.291942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Gustavo Heide27c184.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7947252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Gustavo Heide55c183.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Harold Mayot66c151$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.61,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Gustavo Heide52c138.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.221942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Harold Mayot76c132.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.430755%169 W · 138 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Gustavo Heide51c130$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.315244.1%67 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Harold Mayot62c124.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.121,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Harold Mayot49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.453060%18 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36dc…531bbacked Gustavo Heide50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Harold Mayot45c117.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.631,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Gustavo Heide50c111.03$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.891,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Gustavo Heide46c107.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Harold Mayot57c104.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8378857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc34…0953backed Harold Mayot50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Gustavo Heide35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514656.2%82 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Gustavo Heide53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Harold Mayot59c99.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4136161.8%223 W · 138 L+41.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Gustavo Heide26c98.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9148947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72da…9b77backed Gustavo Heide51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.72429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Harold Mayot51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0487854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Harold Mayot51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0428557.9%165 W · 120 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Harold Mayot49c97.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0314536.6%53 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Gustavo Heide51c96.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0412641.3%52 W · 74 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Gustavo Heide50c96.15$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0821745.2%98 W · 119 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Gustavo Heide52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506339.7%25 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Gustavo Heide52c92.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.155942.4%25 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Gustavo Heide52c92.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.154542.2%19 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Gustavo Heide52c92.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.151741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Gustavo Heide41c90.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.21,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Harold Mayot48c85.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6835164.7%227 W · 124 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Gustavo Heide54c83.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.281,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.