TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73c5…2f80backed No11c5,700$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.551250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes57c5,547$3,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.82,56642.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L+52.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes77c4,931$3,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.762286.4%19 W · 3 L+6.7wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+86.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes46c3,896$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.151,81850.4%917 W · 901 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked No29c3,502$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No54c2,913$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.71346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No17c2,880$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.618248.9%89 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed No55c1,809$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked No57c1,706$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No19c1,580$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.131,11641.6%464 W · 652 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39025123.1%58 W · 193 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Yes61c1,492$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.972777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64f9…7c37backed No9c1,434$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c1,264$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.616,02846.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L+50.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No29c1,235$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.9612634.1%43 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64812050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64839954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Yes73c1,179$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.861154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No16c1,158$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8296846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211b…1c13backed No52c1,157$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.838834.1%30 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No54c750$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.851,52954.9%840 W · 689 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37813154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054d…779cbacked Yes46c673.91$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes79c617.98$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.691,06641.7%445 W · 621 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes47c616.38$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.272,58540%1,035 W · 1,550 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed No27c581.73$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27015549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No26c498.77$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5149467.8%335 W · 159 L+69.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+36.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x09c4…9b44backed Yes79c451.83$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.933100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes44c446.73$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.671,79650.2%902 W · 894 L+30.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4bd…0ce0backed No56c342.29$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fa…26d9backed Yes48c337.73$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+133.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes80c328.11$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0131549.8%157 W · 158 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16216152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed No55c288$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No52c267.25$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9216759.9%100 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No54c260$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.414452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No9c248$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.314334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes44c209.31$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.211,14449.4%565 W · 579 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1124445.5%20 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes48c197.25$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9412561.6%77 W · 48 L+11.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No20c173$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9447353.1%251 W · 222 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes68c167.4$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8173850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked No8c164.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.133735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No54c156$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2418256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No23c144.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.149041.1%37 W · 53 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No54c140$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.616154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9933652.7%177 W · 159 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes48c136.52$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1822069.5%153 W · 67 L+33.0wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+32.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334161%25 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No50c132.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.730464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.586100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58d3…5f8ebacked Yes76c130.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.171172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b5…b837backed No20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked No57c123.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9165…e7e7backed No13c112.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.231241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes45c112.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6594044.7%420 W · 520 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes65c110.83$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.921,26650.2%635 W · 631 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Yes46c109.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.044740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72540%10 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.271735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5417953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+45.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x005a…1349backed No55c94.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.961553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick31cpaid+45.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes52c86.48$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7958145.6%265 W · 316 L-23.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes46c80.43$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4310444.2%46 W · 58 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Yes58c79.82$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.133847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e62…fd00backed Yes45c78.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.095040%20 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Yes46c77.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.932650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes42c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.52766.7%18 W · 9 L+7.6wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+87.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc057…804abacked Yes47c66.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.51450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb7…b854backed No54c66.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes47c65.6$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9216671.1%118 W · 48 L+33.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+59.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2211849.2%58 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No54c64.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.098250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes74c64.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4661842.6%263 W · 355 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes69c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.432457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes60c54.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.84560%27 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e27…d603backed No53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No54c49.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.649750.5%49 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No54c47.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8115253.9%82 W · 70 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6211841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No54c46.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518838.8%73 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed No55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfa…0093backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No24c43.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6383853.7%450 W · 388 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf9…dbb9backed Yes47c42.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes64c42.47$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1417160.8%104 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0348…3d81backed No46c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.861127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Yes51c39.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.212254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No51c37.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.159246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed Yes74c36.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.491258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ffc…4664backed Yes53c36.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.