Asian League · resolved market
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2befe9f81377d66dfacb9a205e503673931f272c075cfba702d05ff99493486e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 4,402$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Yes | 36c | 3,314$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 70c | 3,294$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 3,087$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.65 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Yes | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 66c | 1,436$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,029$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 999.09$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.1 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Yes | 24c | 434.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 37c | 418.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 359.72$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 67c | 296.54$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 36c | 283.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 74c | 258.54$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 248.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 197.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…e3c7backed Yes | 40c | 172.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 44c | 144.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 65c | 132.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1390…080fbacked Yes | 70c | 130.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Yes | 38c | 128$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 67c | 117.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 116.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 34c | 106.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 65c | 93.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 65c | 89.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked No | 64c | 79.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 38c | 62.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed No | 66c | 59.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…6da8backed No | 65c | 55.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 34c | 53.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 30c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 58c | 41.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 48c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Yes | 33c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 28.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 50c | 22.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…bb2bbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked No | 65c | 19.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-31?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.