Asian League · resolved market
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd766477ece1962362da6b0f97b309d40c9afad115f8f58c9a6a693cb4d1e58e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed No | 62c | 12,014$7,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.32 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 38c | 2,446$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.42 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 1,762$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 1,634$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.47 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 37c | 1,454$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.85 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 1,055$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.87 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 38c | 651.63$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.62 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 22c | 600$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 371.58$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130e…cc45backed Yes | 25c | 364$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 9c | 357.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…4847backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 30c | 249.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 215.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 20c | 176$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 7c | 152$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Yes | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 39c | 140.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…a509backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 122.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 69c | 113.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 38c | 101.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Yes | 33c | 86.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 80.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 63c | 80.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 73c | 74.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 70c | 67.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…b271backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Yes | 36c | 53.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes | 38c | 53.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…378bbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 63c | 47.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b928backed Yes | 39c | 45.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Yes | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Yes | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 63c | 32.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 72c | 30.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…b976backed No | 65c | 23.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 76c | 16.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4f8ebacked No | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-31?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.