Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Elena Grekul vs Sofia Alekseeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b632db7189ad49ea6a06ddc09f9245467f952bad1f7504e3e8a6059c9278010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Alekseevaof Elena Grekul, Sofia Alekseeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Elena Grekul | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.97 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sofia Alekseeva | 49c | 2,187$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sofia Alekseeva | 46c | 1,823$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.26 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Elena Grekul | 54c | 1,484$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.06 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Sofia Alekseeva | 46c | 796.36$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.53 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sofia Alekseeva | 44c | 700.92$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.1 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Sofia Alekseeva | 42c | 524.73$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.82 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Elena Grekul | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Elena Grekul | 73c | 340.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Sofia Alekseeva | 35c | 165.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Elena Grekul | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Sofia Alekseeva | 46c | 158$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Sofia Alekseeva | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Sofia Alekseeva | 51c | 144.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Sofia Alekseeva | 44c | 141.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Sofia Alekseeva | 47c | 140.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308c…74e8backed Elena Grekul | 70c | 125$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Sofia Alekseeva | 58c | 83.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Elena Grekul | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…e3fcbacked Sofia Alekseeva | 46c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Elena Grekul | 55c | 49.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elena Grekul | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Elena Grekul | 54c | 45.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Elena Grekul | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sofia Alekseeva | 49c | 40.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Sofia Alekseeva | 54c | 36.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Elena Grekul | 63c | 36.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Elena Grekul | 54c | 34.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Elena Grekul | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Sofia Alekseeva | 51c | 22.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Elena Grekul | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Elena Grekul | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.