Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Oscar Brown vs Esteban Talavera Cortes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9604b2df8d73b945b8bfd5333b4315a5133f2e9de396c159e39da49392f598dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esteban Talavera Cortesof Oscar Brown, Esteban Talavera Cortes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 55c | 2,582$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oscar Brown | 66c | 1,470$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.43 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Oscar Brown | 67c | 787.5$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 39c | 759.58$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.39 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oscar Brown | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Oscar Brown | 37c | 452.64$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 34c | 248.09$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.74 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Oscar Brown | 36c | 242.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 47c | 236.43$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 43c | 195$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Oscar Brown | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 50c | 141.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 59c | 101.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Oscar Brown | 66c | 88.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 20c | 70$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Oscar Brown | 65c | 68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 16c | 62.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 37c | 61.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 61c | 58.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oscar Brown | 59c | 47.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 35c | 43.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…23b4backed Oscar Brown | 34c | 42.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Oscar Brown | 73c | 35.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Oscar Brown | 65c | 29.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 60c | 20.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Oscar Brown | 65c | 18.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Oscar Brown | 69c | 15.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.