Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf310e76982f9ce642542ee72a5d59bd77aa078a0a0e44ae422609c6ca839301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 4,314$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 3,280$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.1 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 40c | 2,888$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.08 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 2,597$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.22 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,998$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.79 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 62c | 1,828$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.12 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 39c | 914.74$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.99 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 58c | 689.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 62c | 592$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.04 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 44c | 572.7$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 56c | 545.16$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.86 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.62 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 57c | 485.95$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.99 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 46c | 436.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 417.15$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.86 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 374.3$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.09 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 41c | 272$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.48 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 236.29$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.61 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 206.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 44c | 205.93$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 45c | 194.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Yes | 47c | 190.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 56c | 176.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 151.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 56c | 150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 42c | 149.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 54c | 147.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 55c | 134.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 50c | 128.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 41c | 124$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 44c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 107$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 61c | 101.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 25c | 91.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 85.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed No | 43c | 72.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 39c | 72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 42c | 71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…f339backed No | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 58c | 57.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 48c | 51.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed No | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked No | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 55c | 49.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Yes | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 53c | 34.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 57c | 33.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Yes | 57c | 32.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 44c | 31.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 39c | 29.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 53c | 28.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 43c | 26.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed No | 53c | 26.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked No | 53c | 26.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…ccf1backed Yes | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…e35bbacked Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 42c | 24.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked No | 46c | 24.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.