Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf315d2498cc621cfcf2d4225641905bbbd05b542ac21dd633a85c37232ad147c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 756.07$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 710.36$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.95 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 438.01$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 75c | 202$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 22c | 150.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 149.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 148.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 142$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 129.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 70c | 80.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed No | 70c | 61.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…e35bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 24c | 49.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 73c | 47.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…eceebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +150%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.