MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x734373e272d3dfb3a121b1144073fbe369494f221d8800095f0bf51412e2ffd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 46c | 172,876$79,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,764.74 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 44,907$24,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,287.09 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 54c | 27,775$14,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,998.5 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 23,099$12,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,700.2 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 46c | 9,814$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315.43 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 54c | 9,230$4,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.2 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 5,360$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.43 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 54c | 5,070$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.8 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 53c | 4,021$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.97 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 55c | 3,064$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.05 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 54c | 3,058$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.32 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Under | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 54c | 1,876$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.98 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 384 | 53.9%207 W · 177 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,678$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.62 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.05 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Under | 13c | 1,060$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 56c | 1,024$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.44 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 988.91$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.4 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 54c | 603.33$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.8 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 523.1$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.09 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 486$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 56c | 346.06$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.23 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 56c | 334.82$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 54c | 313.53$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.07 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 50c | 285.73$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 68c | 229$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 240 | 59.2%142 W · 98 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 451 | 49.2%222 W · 229 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 55c | 176.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 54c | 173$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 35c | 140.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 46c | 119.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Under | 52c | 119.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 54c | 104.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 61c | 103$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 45c | 88.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 55c | 84.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 56c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 46c | 79.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 383 | 42%161 W · 222 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 29c | 76.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 55c | 70.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 52.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 47.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 45c | 43.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…7fd4backed Under | 37c | 43.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 63c | 43.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Under | 54c | 38.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 45c | 35.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 47c | 32.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 45c | 31.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 53c | 24.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 425 | 48.2%205 W · 220 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 48c | 24.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York YankeesDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-5.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.