MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2f2456800167bffa74d2221131e092812a804424632c1a504fdd0bb1a27a5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof New York Yankees, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 68c | 1,691$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.12 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 1,430$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.8 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 36c | 1,067$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.18 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed New York Yankees | 32c | 921.78$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.08 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 892.41$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.59 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed New York Yankees | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 796.85$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.03 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 36c | 568.88$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.13 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 405.05$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed New York Yankees | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Yankees | 13c | 235$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees | 34c | 232.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 79c | 156$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Detroit Tigers | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed New York Yankees | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 90.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 85.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked New York Yankees | 37c | 72.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed New York Yankees | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked New York Yankees | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed New York Yankees | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 27c | 58.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 44.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 76c | 42.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 41.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 425 | 48.2%205 W · 220 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 35.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Yankees | 35c | 35.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed New York Yankees | 32c | 34.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 32.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed New York Yankees | 36c | 30.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Detroit Tigers | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 15.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1,481 | 63.5%940 W · 541 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York YankeesDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-5.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.