TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$361,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No47c94,052$43,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,932.915349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes48c37,500$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,5005438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No45c19,639$8,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,837.522560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes55c17,052$9,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,676.2168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes55c10,225$5,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,601.2540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c5,508$3,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.32,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes53c5,124$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.6498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes54c3,950$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8176567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.787358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes53c3,665$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.751963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No28c3,478$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9216819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No6c3,332$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.923243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No6c3,332$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.921861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick39cpaid+101.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No6c3,332$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.923638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No6c3,114$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.924463.6%28 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes54c3,016$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.4224953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes54c3,011$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.9421548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No28c2,812$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.367763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes54c2,463$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.9633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes53c2,460$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.119952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes49c2,380$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.5732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c2,175$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.8422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes55c2,005$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.3515946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8802857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f82…659ebacked Yes53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes53c1,981$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.2212153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes53c1,747$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.8135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes60c1,742$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.451,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No52c1,692$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.3134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes53c1,674$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.284337.2%16 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked No51c1,647$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes54c1,543$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.6613839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.863464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes53c1,349$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.035446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Yes53c1,300$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5643773%27 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2675…e4dabacked No1c1,114$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes53c1,082$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.1193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes54c1,075$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.671172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4304242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46018951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb4e…aa0cbacked Yes54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Yes53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes51c984.5$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.44845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11b0…f988backed No2c973$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed No5c939.87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.241822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes54c925.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.923951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes53c777$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.8714651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes59c753.13$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3327453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.743348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dae…e592backed No4c738.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes73c738.62$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.437145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0a1…73dbbacked No7c713.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-79.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x276b…8a8bbacked Yes55c662.87$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes53c648.15$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6312351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No47c559.96$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8436456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.569154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No47c519.62$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes55c506.27$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0426241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes56c500$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3615050.7%76 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked No47c484.09$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.523828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.771435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes55c454$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.338547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes56c453.57$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1146047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No19c445.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.71421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid-59.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed No8c413.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.081050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1967150.7%36 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes55c399.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18010549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Yes54c363.36$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.153345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes54c343.01$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.732854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Yes53c340.98$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.261855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No7c338$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.283141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No45c335.42$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.941947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Yes51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes54c281$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5465254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaccd…befdbacked No8c269$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes47c251.42$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2514748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked No8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a43…93a7backed No8c249.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9960%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf45…3543backed No9c246.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.041050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes56c236.66$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9687…f828backed No8c229.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.46837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Yes53c224.53$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.536850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes50c209.51$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.761361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes49c204.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.293148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed No9c199.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes56c199.5$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2814442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1913366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c185.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1819042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5713553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Yes53c165.54$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.83063.3%19 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe60…c2f7backed No8c162.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.