Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0133b54210d14eea98adbbc74182aab321644bb0ad8d193cdc3c933520755122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 6,448$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.19 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,115$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,173$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 74c | 2,116$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.06 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 26c | 1,741$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.98 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 76c | 1,523$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.61 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 1,009$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.6 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 999.97$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.99 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 26c | 834.38$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.94 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 74c | 799.99$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 733.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 27c | 506.84$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 76c | 484.77$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 480$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 279.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 27c | 270$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 27c | 258$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 26c | 212.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 24c | 205.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 76c | 198.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 171.07$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 164$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 73c | 130.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…91e5backed Yes | 27c | 107.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 100.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 74c | 96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 73c | 85.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 24c | 83.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6b…3962backed Yes | 27c | 72.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 26c | 61.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 49.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 26c | 47.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 47.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Yes | 25c | 45.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 26c | 42.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…9436backed Yes | 24c | 41.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 74c | 29.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked No | 73c | 27.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed No | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 75c | 19.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 71c | 17.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked No | 73c | 17.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed No | 71c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked No | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.