Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb15691ae18e98074c84f01221447b42199a17c15a7f76bb8a2970cf1ae6d51b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 8,463$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.97 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 13c | 7,627$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.12 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 19c | 4,399$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.14 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 17c | 3,963$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.35 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 959.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 784$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 80c | 776.35$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.15 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2538…e24dbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 332.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 80c | 250.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 240.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 190.92$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed Yes | 13c | 164$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 19c | 159.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd309…a8ebbacked Yes | 20c | 139.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 13c | 134.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 80c | 101.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 90.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 19c | 77.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 18c | 61.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 77c | 49.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…5c42backed No | 80c | 46.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 77c | 45.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 77c | 39.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked No | 80c | 27.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 80c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?No won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.