TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$380,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$462,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x96f7…d6aebacked MOUZ4c128,138$4,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,824.8622230.2%67 W · 155 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed MOUZ1c7,532$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.331118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ3c4,609$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.241,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ39c4,543$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.851,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed FUT Esports65c3,777$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.3943764.3%281 W · 156 L+51.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked FUT Esports44c3,163$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.153135%186 W · 345 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked FUT Esports57c3,147$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.5742037.9%159 W · 261 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ14c3,046$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.8540853.7%219 W · 189 L+24.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ1c2,559$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019336.8%71 W · 122 L-0.9wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed MOUZ5c2,181$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed FUT Esports79c2,132$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.6139468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ55c1,762$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.351,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed MOUZ57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015950.9%81 W · 78 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed FUT Esports62c1,700$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.999450%47 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed FUT Esports68c1,580$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.892,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked MOUZ45c1,542$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.8415838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ45c1,500$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.32,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked MOUZ7c1,470$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.712232%39 W · 83 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports63c1,454$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.611,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e7…dc64backed MOUZ1c1,358$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1590%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed MOUZ43c1,155$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50055232.4%179 W · 373 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked FUT Esports67c1,097$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.4546565.6%305 W · 160 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports54c1,031$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.0587847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FUT Esports43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57097240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed MOUZ43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.816749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed FUT Esports44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56030153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed FUT Esports43c975.79$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.211643.1%50 W · 66 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked MOUZ51c930$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.617546.9%82 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked FUT Esports57c887.73$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.7366446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed MOUZ37c804.67$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2319468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bcd…2051backed FUT Esports52c763.98$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.036749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed MOUZ10c699.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7241645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ19c693.21$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.185,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ9c661.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2561834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ28c644.59$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.844,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad1f…7f94backed FUT Esports45c632.38$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.815731.6%18 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed MOUZ3c624.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1724233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked MOUZ57c614.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014945%67 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed FUT Esports44c600.23$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6514352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked MOUZ31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18619643.4%85 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed FUT Esports75c501.99$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4443175.9%327 W · 104 L+24.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…f812backed MOUZ39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1a…0db5backed MOUZ42c495.77$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.771353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FUT Esports63c468.22$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.561,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed FUT Esports45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4419847.5%94 W · 104 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed MOUZ56c418.2$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1942751.5%220 W · 207 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5acf…ead4backed FUT Esports48c416.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.94833.3%16 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MOUZ38c396.2$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.564,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FUT Esports70c379.7$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.822,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf957…bcb6backed MOUZ54c360$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.085837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed FUT Esports55c343.49$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.19033.3%30 W · 60 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked MOUZ5c340.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.521,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked MOUZ9c335.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053737.1%199 W · 338 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked MOUZ44c335.11$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4518055%99 W · 81 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FUT Esports44c315.32$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5850349.3%248 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed MOUZ31c304.26$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3226624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked MOUZ23c300$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8573553.5%393 W · 342 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed FUT Esports44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1685052%26 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ7c291$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3757422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked MOUZ36c278.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021462.1%133 W · 81 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc3…b49fbacked MOUZ38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked MOUZ56c256.49$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.633748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x539e…5968backed MOUZ10c250.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e4…c6dabacked MOUZ44c234.02$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.972142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FUT Esports67c213.35$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.023,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked MOUZ33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6616153.4%86 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed FUT Esports43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11431843.1%137 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked MOUZ56c192.02$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9614661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked MOUZ53c190.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025645.7%117 W · 139 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked MOUZ53c189.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed MOUZ57c176.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006848.5%33 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fbf…138abacked FUT Esports57c168.21$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.682236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MOUZ36c160$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.132,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports56c157$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.825,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked FUT Esports60c150.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.362,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MOUZ37c139.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.492,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked MOUZ35c137.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.632,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed FUT Esports45c131.11$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.119333.3%31 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked MOUZ33c130$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2538421.9%84 W · 300 L-44.9wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked FUT Esports45c128.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8919147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ30c125$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.862,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da2…22b6backed MOUZ57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7039745.8%182 W · 215 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b2c…f0d6backed FUT Esports69c101.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.595261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked MOUZ50c100.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed MOUZ10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017626.1%46 W · 130 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76e8…f211backed MOUZ38c99.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.964463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7556…0f44backed MOUZ57c94.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.777851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed MOUZ39c89.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7474239.1%290 W · 452 L-29.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed FUT Esports60c85.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8513857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0bd…5f54backed FUT Esports62c77.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.629338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked FUT Esports50c77.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2929437.1%109 W · 185 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked MOUZ21c75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked FUT Esports68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5317261%105 W · 67 L-0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked FUT Esports70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked FUT Esports45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6711964.7%77 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FUT Esports51c64.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.782142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked FUT Esports70c62.41$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5781744.7%365 W · 452 L-2.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed MOUZ44c62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2859044.9%265 W · 325 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d5…573bbacked MOUZ52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.