CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76f312bccb05e8b816a57fc297d7cfaefc187df096cc50d6674b797951aeb85d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof MOUZ, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf559…f462backed FUT Esports | 65c | 21,415$13,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,507.91 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 18,528$6,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.49 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 7,357$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.97 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed MOUZ | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 4,516$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.49 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed FUT Esports | 65c | 3,721$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.85 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 3,694$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.42 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed MOUZ | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,145$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.17 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,452$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.57 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed FUT Esports | 64c | 1,384$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.32 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed MOUZ | 36c | 944.44$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked FUT Esports | 72c | 799.99$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ | 28c | 792.14$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.45 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FUT Esports | 65c | 747.25$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.54 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FUT Esports | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed MOUZ | 36c | 601.11$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.4 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed FUT Esports | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked MOUZ | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked MOUZ | 35c | 499.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.39 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed MOUZ | 36c | 499.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed FUT Esports | 66c | 427.92$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.49 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed FUT Esports | 65c | 397.52$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FUT Esports | 64c | 360.24$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed MOUZ | 35c | 346.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed MOUZ | 36c | 306$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed FUT Esports | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked MOUZ | 36c | 256$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ | 36c | 238.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked MOUZ | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FUT Esports | 64c | 148.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…dd56backed MOUZ | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked MOUZ | 36c | 138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked MOUZ | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed MOUZ | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked MOUZ | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed FUT Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed FUT Esports | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed FUT Esports | 64c | 94.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed FUT Esports | 67c | 86.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports | 76c | 82.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc06…7f72backed MOUZ | 36c | 71.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked MOUZ | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed MOUZ | 35c | 67.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed MOUZ | 34c | 62.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked MOUZ | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed MOUZ | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed FUT Esports | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 220 | 60.9%134 W · 86 L | +16.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…c2bebacked MOUZ | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked MOUZ | 36c | 47.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 45.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed MOUZ | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed FUT Esports | 64c | 41.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FUT Esports | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed FUT Esports | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…06c6backed MOUZ | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…c111backed MOUZ | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked FUT Esports | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed MOUZ | 35c | 30.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 673 | 50.1%337 W · 336 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MOUZ | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed FUT Esports | 72c | 29.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 680 | 59.3%403 W · 277 L | +64.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed FUT Esports | 64c | 25.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FUT Esports | 61c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked FUT Esports | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 147 | 69.4%102 W · 45 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed FUT Esports | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.