CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39be8a6217ac522db0bafbca9ef584deb8773ebeeb1c2b320c8bf01db2b5b254
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 54c | 391.46$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.39 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 46c | 312.15$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Over | 47c | 194.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 146.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 34c | 98.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Under | 48c | 95.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 53c | 94.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…6700backed Under | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 69c | 77.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 44c | 69.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 35c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under | 53c | 43.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 43c | 36.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…bbd9backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 31.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 61c | 24.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.