CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x892d90ec29bdc3ecefd2e4b4689e890f77f7ed962c53866d03876fc6cfc222fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Heroic, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Liquid | 75c | 663.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.14 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Heroic | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Liquid | 69c | 336.51$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Heroic | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Heroic | 26c | 281.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed Heroic | 30c | 252.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Liquid | 69c | 228.21$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Heroic | 26c | 209.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Liquid | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Liquid | 73c | 198.11$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Heroic | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Liquid | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Liquid | 74c | 94.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Liquid | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked Heroic | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Liquid | 70c | 34.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Heroic | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Liquid | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked Heroic | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Liquid | 79c | 26.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Liquid | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Liquid | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Liquid | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Liquid | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Liquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.