Fifa International · resolved market
Australia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70dff762017a74cf0cc31b31c8861655d1465308c425e8af1a0f816a00d21cf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Yes | 0c | 49,563$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 25,948$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 20c | 20,315$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.49 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 80c | 18,250$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 21c | 17,129$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.78 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 9,925$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.82 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 9,141$7,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.24 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed No | 79c | 7,914$6,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.94 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 20c | 7,253$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.89 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 6,680$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.11 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 5c | 5,760$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 80c | 4,904$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.81 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 2c | 4,561$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 20c | 4,452$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.39 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 20c | 3,056$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.16 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,990$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.98 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f16…780cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,239$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f44…b271backed Yes | 13c | 1,665$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.26 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,392$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.52 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…2c12backed Yes | 20c | 1,145$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,080$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 80c | 1,068$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.58 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…ce09backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 778.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…89bcbacked Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…be84backed Yes | 20c | 690.48$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 2c | 690.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 23.1%28 W · 93 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 3c | 640.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 80c | 596.9$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 9c | 596.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 148 | 31.8%47 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 20c | 512$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8b…0775backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 80c | 453.56$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 325.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 320.39$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 6c | 265$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…076ebacked Yes | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…d2c3backed Yes | 19c | 252.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…a234backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 20c | 216$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 80c | 202.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7148…600bbacked Yes | 20c | 193.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 80c | 188$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…c659backed Yes | 12c | 185.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed Yes | 7c | 168$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…db52backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…4fb1backed Yes | 21c | 141.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 9c | 141$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…a9a8backed No | 80c | 136.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…2f19backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 114.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 19c | 111.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 80c | 111.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1627backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…68f9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…e92abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…7774backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c45…d518backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…68c2backed Yes | 20c | 97.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 19c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Yes | 20c | 56.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 78c | 55.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…084ebacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda80…d5fabacked Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 76c | 52.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef59…2757backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…25a4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…5f97backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…bc71backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed No | 80c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 80c | 22.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 78c | 22.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 80c | 18.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia leading at halftime?this page
- Australia vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?No won
- Egypt leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.