Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa452348feecab95a3c0e13e0e8a784e1fb551df2e8f86b74162e3343f5e2d45e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $638,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $632,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 31c | 144,999$44,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,049.6 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 112,466$58,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,359.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 31c | 81,037$25,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,529.01 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 4c | 31,250$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 26,556$18,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,405.63 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 68c | 26,000$17,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,679.89 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 25,544$11,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,052.48 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 31c | 19,060$5,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,173.85 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 30c | 18,046$5,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,605.21 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 18,007$3,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 68c | 18,000$12,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,239.88 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Yes | 31c | 13,863$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,563.1 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…4a14backed No | 69c | 10,627$7,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,332.61 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed No | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed No | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.99 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 9,910$6,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,836.26 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 9,698$6,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,683.95 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 69c | 8,904$6,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,143.76 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 69c | 8,500$5,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,864.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 70c | 7,486$5,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,240.53 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…577ebacked No | 4c | 7,292$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 54c | 7,200$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.21 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…fd63backed Yes | 29c | 6,897$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 69c | 5,120$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.15 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 9c | 4,972$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.64 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 69c | 4,833$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.75 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 4c | 3,681$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 4c | 3,635$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 3,490$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.21 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 17c | 3,246$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.01 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 68c | 3,196$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.12 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 2c | 3,140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 69c | 2,844$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.18 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 4c | 2,283$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed No | 4c | 1,902$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 69c | 1,784$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.51 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked No | 2c | 1,636$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 1,623$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.87 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…b9dbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 69c | 1,429$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.09 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 4c | 1,400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.15 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 4c | 1,187$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 3c | 1,154$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 19c | 1,095$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.92 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 1,045$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.76 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f9…ef16backed No | 22c | 1,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 19c | 903.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.41 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…3d07backed No | 5c | 846.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 69c | 800$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 69c | 800$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 69c | 784$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.96 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 69c | 752.69$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.36 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 21c | 743.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.38 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 31c | 737.97$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.2 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 31c | 735$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.15 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 69c | 724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 77c | 723.62$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.73 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 70c | 700$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 17c | 680.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 679.35$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.3 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 672$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 69c | 640$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.6 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 30c | 600$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.43 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 68c | 599.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.6 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 589.96$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.07 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked No | 69c | 550.51$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.85 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 69c | 501.45$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 68c | 501$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.68 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 69c | 500.28$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.19 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked No | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 21c | 499.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 70c | 486$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.2 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Yes | 78c | 480.16$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 434.21$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.03 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6d…7aaebacked Yes | 31c | 432.26$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.26 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 4c | 411.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 69c | 384$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt leading at halftime?this page
- Australia leading at halftime?No won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.