TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Australia vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No53c28,549$15,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,286.492,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No50c11,775$5,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,937.463,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c10,011$4,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,033.63,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes33c9,731$3,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,192.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes50c9,571$4,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.511,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes56c5,357$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004425%11 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aaf…b21abacked Yes16c4,375$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe635…702abacked Yes50c3,930$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes52c3,100$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6129547.4%45 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes50c2,952$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Yes52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes49c2,600$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.855042%21 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed Yes18c2,551$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011942%50 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes18c2,189$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No49c2,110$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.272,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes10c2,070$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7671939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes1c2,063$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes34c1,835$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.282,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No51c1,513$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.472,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c6…4366backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes55c1,182$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes50c1,133$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.522,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes50c869.98$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes10c769.03$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.433,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes50c733$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.534751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No50c727.75$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.031,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes20c700.59$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes16c700$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127821.8%17 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed No51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2410855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2668…9555backed Yes15c551.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808924.7%22 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019124.6%47 W · 144 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bb…2641backed Yes51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504562.2%28 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes17c463.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8131945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes16c452.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3433337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeda…a39ebacked Yes50c429.91$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes50c400$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.447321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508140.7%33 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes50c369.02$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.241,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes18c341.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3342043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes50c338$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16927744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked No50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1609842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Yes17c311.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3238437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd7a…b5e0backed No49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.12742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes51c304$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0424233.5%81 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No50c300.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.21,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505446.3%25 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15097742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15045248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe79c…930ebacked Yes52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010550.5%53 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe867…93d2backed Yes54c259.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-57.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdeec…99c8backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011619%22 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed Yes55c221.52$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.842638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd883…714ebacked Yes49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.967038.6%27 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b1…5cedbacked Yes17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf07…652cbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008235.4%29 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33f…91a8backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes16c189.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1317329.5%51 W · 122 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbc…0402backed Yes57c189.47$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…0187backed No50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x675d…383abacked Yes17c177.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed No51c170.6$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5910636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022851.8%118 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdde7…0b2dbacked Yes18c159.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158419%16 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes13c144.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.581,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No49c143.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.153,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No50c140.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.231,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes52c137.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5756022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4558…8490backed Yes27c131.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes19c131$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8946230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No49c126.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.763,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6521048.6%102 W · 108 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013329.3%39 W · 94 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No50c119.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6140239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde88…75d6backed Yes50c102.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5149426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9c…af83backed Yes50c101.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4933847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb965…01d8backed No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca2…dedabacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185223.1%12 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes19c98.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.524443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a04…8e1fbacked No51c98.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a30…3666backed No51c98.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc374…cee1backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Yes15c94.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2513941%57 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes50c88.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.131,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No68c86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8836335.8%130 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes51c82.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.