Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76ec1bee9c299a48b5a37b968d358f055783c194aa0df86303a3d5bc5ef62f04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 28,549$15,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,286.49 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 11,775$5,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,937.46 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 10,011$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.6 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 9,731$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 50c | 9,571$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.51 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Yes | 16c | 4,375$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…702abacked Yes | 50c | 3,930$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 52c | 3,100$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 50c | 2,952$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 49c | 2,600$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.85 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 18c | 2,551$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 18c | 2,189$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 2,110$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.27 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 10c | 2,070$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,063$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,835$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.28 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 51c | 1,513$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.47 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c6…4366backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 50c | 1,133$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.52 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 50c | 869.98$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 769.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes | 50c | 733$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 50c | 727.75$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.03 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 20c | 700.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.19 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed No | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Yes | 15c | 551.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…2641backed Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 17c | 463.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 16c | 452.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…a39ebacked Yes | 50c | 429.91$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 50c | 400$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 369.02$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.24 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 18c | 341.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 50c | 338$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 277 | 44.8%124 W · 153 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Yes | 17c | 311.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…b5e0backed No | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 51c | 304$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 50c | 300.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…930ebacked Yes | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…93d2backed Yes | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…99c8backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Yes | 55c | 221.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…5cedbacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…652cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…91a8backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 16c | 189.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…0402backed Yes | 57c | 189.47$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed No | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…383abacked Yes | 17c | 177.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed No | 51c | 170.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 228 | 51.8%118 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde7…0b2dbacked Yes | 18c | 159.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 13c | 144.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 49c | 143.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 50c | 140.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 52c | 137.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…8490backed Yes | 27c | 131.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 19c | 131$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 126.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 133 | 29.3%39 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 50c | 119.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…75d6backed Yes | 50c | 102.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…af83backed Yes | 50c | 101.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb965…01d8backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…dedabacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 19c | 98.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a04…8e1fbacked No | 51c | 98.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a30…3666backed No | 51c | 98.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…cee1backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Yes | 15c | 94.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 50c | 88.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 68c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?this page
- Australia leading at halftime?No won
- Egypt leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.