Movies · resolved market
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac479c4b29a2895750e6bd3bc57cf637f94ce7448b3f015af0d40d8f59d9e481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,614,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,159,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,614,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 16c | 105,824$17,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,327.62 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…574bbacked Yes | 0c | 100,164$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e1…39b2backed Yes | 0c | 78,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…b01cbacked Yes | 0c | 76,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 8c | 62,776$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.61 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 0c | 59,390$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…c45abacked Yes | 0c | 53,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9788…e57ebacked Yes | 0c | 45,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5712…c9efbacked Yes | 0c | 27,474$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6b…9b0fbacked Yes | 0c | 26,653$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 0c | 18,014$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…84edbacked No | 74c | 16,218$12,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed No | 75c | 15,176$11,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770.3 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 0c | 15,052$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed Yes | 15c | 14,658$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.88 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…0cfdbacked No | 76c | 13,872$10,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.73 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 74c | 13,781$10,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.46 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…0d20backed Yes | 0c | 11,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…eb88backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5897…5d81backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…7143backed Yes | 0c | 9,421$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4d…3e88backed Yes | 0c | 8,567$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…1411backed Yes | 0c | 8,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Yes | 35c | 8,114$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…b081backed Yes | 0c | 8,006$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadde…b76dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b27…f8bebacked Yes | 0c | 7,912$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…1b00backed Yes | 0c | 7,720$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked No | 72c | 7,561$5,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.46 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…3127backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…0700backed Yes | 0c | 7,060$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…123cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,021$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…fb58backed Yes | 1c | 6,973$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…8246backed Yes | 0c | 6,945$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 23c | 6,781$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.7 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…94acbacked No | 74c | 6,458$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.83 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 26c | 6,410$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.45 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…282fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…fa64backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0c…a64bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,890$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480b…5f6ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf27…eee6backed Yes | 0c | 5,794$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef74…2878backed Yes | 0c | 5,785$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc6…e3f3backed Yes | 1c | 5,750$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 21c | 5,743$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.71 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…1063backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…1b7bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,100$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,077$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.07 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…8cefbacked Yes | 0c | 5,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0902…7752backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…1ad8backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…bb54backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 1cpaid | +1,263.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 4,441$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…b2f5backed No | 70c | 3,963$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.95 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 29c | 3,143$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.61 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Yes | 9c | 3,077$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…3bb1backed No | 66c | 2,860$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked No | 72c | 2,804$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.94 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75c6…6414backed Yes | 23c | 2,379$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 21c | 2,290$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.71 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…83debacked No | 71c | 2,119$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ba…1c1dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,024$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Yes | 35c | 1,876$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…ce28backed Yes | 1c | 1,875$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 1,799$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.59 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 70c | 1,424$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.61 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 19c | 1,404$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…e72dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,394$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 34c | 1,330$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.81 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,294$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.66 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,280$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…ddaabacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191c…36efbacked Yes | 1c | 1,223$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…7ccbbacked No | 74c | 1,219$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked No | 69c | 1,184$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe2…edd2backed Yes | 31c | 1,129$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…e621backed No | 72c | 1,105$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…bcdcbacked No | 72c | 1,083$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 12c | 1,049$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…dc57backed Yes | 30c | 1,001$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…e6b2backed No | 79c | 985.16$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked No | 72c | 980$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +297.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 66c | 957.66$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…06b7backed No | 73c | 947.73$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 8c | 937.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked No | 66c | 902.22$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.75 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…d49ebacked No | 71c | 886.3$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…e58bbacked No | 73c | 869.46$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.18 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…1397backed Yes | 9c | 855.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 3c | 813.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9417backed No | 73c | 762.08$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…7018backed No | 71c | 744.04$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 70c | 713.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.94 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7b42backed No | 74c | 699.83$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 18c | 699.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.