Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Joao Fonseca
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cd5890faa545b54af1ad98acb43bbf63955e85ce39be199700fad51292ed738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joao Fonsecaof Jesper de Jong, Joao Fonseca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed Jesper de Jong | 15c | 31,418$4,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,775.58 | 581 | 39.9%232 W · 349 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jesper de Jong | 5c | 23,118$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.67 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…b52cbacked Jesper de Jong | 17c | 11,455$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.4 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jesper de Jong | 16c | 8,953$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.44 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Jesper de Jong | 17c | 8,429$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.11 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jesper de Jong | 12c | 7,470$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.62 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Jesper de Jong | 17c | 7,300$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Jesper de Jong | 8c | 6,261$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.9 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Jesper de Jong | 6c | 6,190$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Jesper de Jong | 16c | 6,121$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.37 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…bc18backed Jesper de Jong | 4c | 5,297$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jesper de Jong | 14c | 3,867$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Jesper de Jong | 3c | 3,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jesper de Jong | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Jesper de Jong | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Jesper de Jong | 5c | 2,094$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Jesper de Jong | 16c | 2,000$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.02 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jesper de Jong | 15c | 1,999$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.53 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jesper de Jong | 16c | 1,748$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.78 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3209…3e2abacked Jesper de Jong | 8c | 1,582$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Jesper de Jong | 3c | 1,581$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Jesper de Jong | 10c | 1,297$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Jesper de Jong | 5c | 1,241$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Jesper de Jong | 14c | 1,164$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…abe1backed Jesper de Jong | 4c | 854.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Jesper de Jong | 17c | 799.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 910 | 50.2%457 W · 453 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jesper de Jong | 4c | 784.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…d137backed Jesper de Jong | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7d3dbacked Jesper de Jong | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Jesper de Jong | 8c | 604.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Jesper de Jong | 10c | 591.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Jesper de Jong | 15c | 591.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Jesper de Jong | 4c | 550$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Jesper de Jong | 15c | 500$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Jesper de Jong | 16c | 490$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Jesper de Jong | 15c | 489.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Jesper de Jong | 16c | 474.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 374 | 38.5%144 W · 230 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Jesper de Jong | 6c | 416.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Jesper de Jong | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 365 | 35.1%128 W · 237 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked Jesper de Jong | 7c | 398$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Jesper de Jong | 14c | 378.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Jesper de Jong | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Jesper de Jong | 12c | 291$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Jesper de Jong | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Jesper de Jong | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Jesper de Jong | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Jesper de Jong | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 581 | 45.8%266 W · 315 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a0…ff28backed Jesper de Jong | 16c | 137.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Jesper de Jong | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 156 | 30.1%47 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Jesper de Jong | 17c | 122.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Jesper de Jong | 15c | 115.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Jesper de Jong | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Jesper de Jong | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Jesper de Jong | 15c | 102.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Jesper de Jong | 16c | 101.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…d4bfbacked Jesper de Jong | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8d…2762backed Jesper de Jong | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Jesper de Jong | 16c | 80.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 744 | 38.7%288 W · 456 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Jesper de Jong | 16c | 78.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Jesper de Jong | 16c | 74.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Jesper de Jong | 18c | 70.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Jesper de Jong | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 837 | 47.6%398 W · 439 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Jesper de Jong | 16c | 66.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 325 | 48%156 W · 169 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.