Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57168178669fc981444fd510c6d0a0dcf8f93f0cd758bd03a2a601e960a66117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 54,983$15,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,412.43 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 69c | 53,424$37,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,392.63 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 68c | 33,940$23,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,820.68 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 72c | 28,090$20,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,865.14 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 28c | 15,273$4,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.32 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 28c | 14,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 32c | 11,472$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.69 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 28c | 10,447$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.07 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 71c | 9,367$6,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.2 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 71c | 8,177$5,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.54 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 29c | 6,564$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.21 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 29c | 5,172$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 33c | 4,363$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.87 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 66c | 3,967$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.44 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 3,512$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.78 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 32c | 3,190$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.55 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…8b97backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 66c | 2,527$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.44 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 72c | 2,017$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.77 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 30c | 1,999$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.52 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…5ad0backed Yes | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.65 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 33c | 1,466$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.06 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 32c | 1,400$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 30c | 1,270$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.57 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 1c | 1,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 32c | 954.6$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.47 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 33c | 867.7$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.55 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 30c | 812.7$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.66 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5619…d1f6backed Yes | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.6wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…7714backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…dc3ebacked Yes | 70c | 682.59$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.66 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x192e…d738backed Yes | 67c | 663.91$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.09 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 72c | 616.67$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.67 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 72c | 612.5$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 30c | 599.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…2f95backed Yes | 66c | 541.95$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 541.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 33c | 534.1$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…475dbacked No | 28c | 519.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…8048backed Yes | 70c | 517.23$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 72c | 489.89$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 7c | 478.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed No | 33c | 454.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 31c | 449.87$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 9c | 431.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf42…6f45backed Yes | 72c | 424.59$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Yes | 72c | 415.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 32c | 409.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.19 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 33c | 408.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 69c | 399.78$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 34c | 386.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…2834backed Yes | 71c | 369.63$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…d613backed No | 28c | 359.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 65c | 333$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c682backed Yes | 72c | 329.92$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 32c | 312$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 33c | 312$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked No | 34c | 310.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.55 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4121…6e58backed Yes | 66c | 304.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 4c | 302.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…27bfbacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 32c | 275.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 25c | 232$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed No | 34c | 226.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 32c | 224.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…0baebacked Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 32c | 210$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 32c | 185.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked No | 29c | 183.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 32c | 176.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c9…ff5ebacked Yes | 71c | 170.17$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e49…7186backed Yes | 67c | 157.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 151.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 11c | 149.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…b4eabacked Yes | 71c | 147.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…ecb7backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 36c | 144.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…5a76backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…5779backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands leading at halftime?this page
- Tunisia leading at halftime?No won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.