Fifa International · resolved market
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10cb83baf766fcdbc2624528ee8f65f4417c639c697133ec6b49703bd16054ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 12,449$9,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.58 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 26c | 11,631$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 27c | 3,264$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.28 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 2,944$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 26c | 2,273$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.72 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 73c | 1,723$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.22 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 1,528$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.26 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked No | 74c | 1,430$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.91 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 76c | 1,041$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 74c | 1,002$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.52 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…d755backed Yes | 6c | 748$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…17e1backed Yes | 29c | 699.8$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 534.14$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 2c | 526.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 40c | 502.63$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb983…20e6backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 73c | 386.76$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 5c | 370.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 311.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 27c | 311$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 271.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…0499backed Yes | 25c | 255.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 30c | 199.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 24c | 190.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 27c | 159.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 132.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 32c | 109$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…4ddebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 74c | 98.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 60c | 97.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 31c | 89.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 88.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 80.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…475dbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 25c | 65.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 25c | 62.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…6128backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 7.9%5 W · 58 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 26c | 52.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 26c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 25c | 48.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa343…68d8backed Yes | 26c | 46.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…45ecbacked Yes | 27c | 42.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…d613backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6b…3713backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 74c | 33.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 74c | 16.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 73c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 56 | 82.1%46 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Draw at halftime?this page
- Netherlands leading at halftime?Yes won
- Tunisia leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.