UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9608aa24d548eaa71129b51ba7789aebbd52c090e88b9a68ca8e95395716684b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felipe Francoof Felipe Franco, Levi Rodrigues Jr.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 60c | 246,816$147,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,762 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Felipe Franco | 40c | 105,000$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,000.18 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Felipe Franco | 40c | 39,592$15,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,755.4 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Felipe Franco | 40c | 24,900$9,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,940 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Felipe Franco | 41c | 23,000$9,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,570 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 58c | 17,033$9,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,878.99 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Felipe Franco | 42c | 9,584$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,558.72 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Felipe Franco | 40c | 9,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Felipe Franco | 41c | 7,931$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.28 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Felipe Franco | 40c | 6,920$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 40c | 6,778$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.46 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Felipe Franco | 40c | 6,622$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,973.03 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Felipe Franco | 40c | 6,002$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.17 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Felipe Franco | 41c | 5,657$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.58 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Felipe Franco | 40c | 5,281$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.52 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Felipe Franco | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Felipe Franco | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Felipe Franco | 63c | 3,137$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.55 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 52c | 2,975$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.5 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 57c | 2,501$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.49 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Felipe Franco | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Felipe Franco | 65c | 1,986$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.23 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Felipe Franco | 65c | 1,880$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.79 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 60c | 1,706$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…c9eabacked Felipe Franco | 40c | 1,660$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Felipe Franco | 41c | 1,635$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.52 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 66c | 1,504$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Felipe Franco | 66c | 1,447$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.94 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Felipe Franco | 42c | 1,425$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.48 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Felipe Franco | 41c | 1,374$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.92 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Felipe Franco | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.34 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Felipe Franco | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 28c | 1,138$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.29 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Felipe Franco | 41c | 1,122$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.95 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Felipe Franco | 56c | 1,029$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.27 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Felipe Franco | 41c | 980$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Felipe Franco | 42c | 953$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.74 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 56c | 947.74$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 59c | 900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 59c | 888.95$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.48 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 42c | 887$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.25 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 55c | 865.97$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.75 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 57c | 831.9$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.18 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Felipe Franco | 40c | 825$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.08 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 61c | 766.6$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 41c | 765.64$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.07 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…1296backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 59c | 721.83$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Felipe Franco | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Felipe Franco | 47c | 689.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Felipe Franco | 46c | 678.92$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.78 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Felipe Franco | 39c | 667.61$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.21 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…a43ebacked Felipe Franco | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Felipe Franco | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Felipe Franco | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 60c | 551.67$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Felipe Franco | 49c | 501.53$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.4 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Felipe Franco | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Felipe Franco | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Felipe Franco | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Felipe Franco | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…3c18backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Felipe Franco | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 43c | 484.46$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Felipe Franco | 42c | 483.02$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.15 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…1b01backed Felipe Franco | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Felipe Franco | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Felipe Franco | 65c | 450$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Felipe Franco | 46c | 435.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.57 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Felipe Franco | 42c | 435.5$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Felipe Franco | 47c | 424.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Felipe Franco | 58c | 422.6$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Felipe Franco | 42c | 405$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.9 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Felipe Franco | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Felipe Franco | 40c | 380$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Felipe Franco | 42c | 378$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Felipe Franco | 42c | 371.43$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.43 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 31c | 314.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Felipe Franco | 75c | 311.11$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Felipe Franco | 68c | 301.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Felipe Franco | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 34c | 293.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Felipe Franco | 38c | 291.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Felipe Franco | 41c | 285.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.71 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 37c | 267.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 74c | 265.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 58c | 258.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…4c88backed Felipe Franco | 43c | 257.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.14 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Felipe Franco | 42c | 256.24$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.62 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Felipe Franco | 42c | 252.02$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.13 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…b321backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 40c | 250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 60c | 247.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Felipe Franco | 54c | 244.64$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Felipe Franco | 51c | 243.16$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Felipe Franco | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 59c | 237.36$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Levi Rodrigues Jr. win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.