Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cfd3945e04ebbed49e40ebbbca0a24d2943320ef70edca870a4cf73dbb28778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HANJIN BRIONof DN SOOPers, HANJIN BRION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed DN SOOPers | 33c | 15,000$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.88 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed DN SOOPers | 23c | 14,165$3,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.84 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed HANJIN BRION | 67c | 9,000$6,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed HANJIN BRION | 67c | 2,892$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.32 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked HANJIN BRION | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed HANJIN BRION | 78c | 1,470$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed HANJIN BRION | 70c | 1,416$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked DN SOOPers | 22c | 1,010$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked DN SOOPers | 30c | 861.2$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 113 | 39.8%45 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked HANJIN BRION | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed DN SOOPers | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked DN SOOPers | 24c | 410.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed DN SOOPers | 30c | 339.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked DN SOOPers | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked DN SOOPers | 30c | 293.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed HANJIN BRION | 69c | 222.05$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HANJIN BRION | 70c | 213.58$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed HANJIN BRION | 68c | 212.8$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed DN SOOPers | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed DN SOOPers | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed DN SOOPers | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked DN SOOPers | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed DN SOOPers | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed HANJIN BRION | 67c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed DN SOOPers | 32c | 77.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked HANJIN BRION | 70c | 65.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed DN SOOPers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed DN SOOPers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed HANJIN BRION | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 186 | 65.6%122 W · 64 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked DN SOOPers | 26c | 51.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…52ddbacked DN SOOPers | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 420 | 49.3%207 W · 213 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed HANJIN BRION | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed HANJIN BRION | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked HANJIN BRION | 69c | 49.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked DN SOOPers | 31c | 48.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…4b88backed HANJIN BRION | 73c | 48.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked DN SOOPers | 24c | 42.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked HANJIN BRION | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…9c26backed HANJIN BRION | 70c | 22.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed HANJIN BRION | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.