Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed7f895cb1e553abc64df4e8921fe450dfada27bd27749984d00bec74abc5f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 48c | 10,230$4,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,909.43 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.99 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 5,073$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.05 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 52c | 2,044$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.08 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +7.1wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 54c | 1,870$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.1 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…fefbbacked Over | 47c | 1,220$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 48c | 1,196$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.02 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 48c | 1,017$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Over | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Under | 53c | 985.1$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.99 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Over | 48c | 978.62$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.74 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 56c | 964$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.66 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 46c | 927.34$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.77 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 44c | 689$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.16 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…d69bbacked Over | 48c | 656.25$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -5.0wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 44c | 420$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…555ebacked Over | 48c | 408.33$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Over | 47c | 397.27$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.71 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 48c | 365.83$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 47c | 314.53$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked Under | 53c | 300.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 53c | 251.64$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 47c | 236.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…b8f1backed Over | 46c | 152.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 54c | 148$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…a93bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 53c | 96.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 48c | 92.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Over | 47c | 92.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Over | 47c | 84.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 41c | 77.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Over | 44c | 68.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Over | 47c | 58.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 47c | 46.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…4079backed Over | 44c | 44.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 53c | 21.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…bb2cbacked Under | 54c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.