Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb75f5a0f844a90b5550e2f3bbd2f3541212f3d635cf9543a6842a844a75fdcee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTXof Team Vitality, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x532b…30c1backed Team Vitality | 35c | 2,510$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.14 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed GIANTX | 66c | 2,407$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.17 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Vitality | 32c | 1,515$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.55 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed GIANTX | 68c | 1,301$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.28 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GIANTX | 67c | 1,111$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.62 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GIANTX | 56c | 880.67$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.22 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Team Vitality | 33c | 878.79$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed GIANTX | 69c | 638.36$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.34 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed GIANTX | 66c | 605.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Team Vitality | 33c | 603.38$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Team Vitality | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7933…4e10backed Team Vitality | 32c | 446$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Vitality | 33c | 380.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed GIANTX | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GIANTX | 67c | 357.08$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed GIANTX | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Team Vitality | 25c | 329.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Team Vitality | 42c | 270.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team Vitality | 31c | 244.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed GIANTX | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Team Vitality | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked GIANTX | 30c | 195$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Team Vitality | 30c | 189.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 322 | 34.5%111 W · 211 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7636…2acbbacked GIANTX | 68c | 164.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed GIANTX | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed GIANTX | 70c | 141.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 682 | 53.5%365 W · 317 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Vitality | 75c | 140$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Team Vitality | 75c | 122.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Team Vitality | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked GIANTX | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…589cbacked Team Vitality | 32c | 94.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Team Vitality | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…9680backed GIANTX | 73c | 70.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed GIANTX | 49c | 65.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GIANTX | 53c | 63.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked GIANTX | 66c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Team Vitality | 31c | 53.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…c18fbacked GIANTX | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…9832backed Team Vitality | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed GIANTX | 65c | 46.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 186 | 65.6%122 W · 64 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed GIANTX | 39c | 46.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Vitality | 25c | 44.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked GIANTX | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked GIANTX | 69c | 37.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…ca3abacked GIANTX | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed GIANTX | 68c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed GIANTX | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.