Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53aada72d1564c2d1283b51d995d21014a9cb7719a2f7e2a2ab12ae045767ce4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 3,502$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.68 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.11 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 50c | 526.36$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.85 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 51c | 457.17$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.16 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 51c | 420.41$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.41 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 328.6$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.59 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 309.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…559ebacked Over | 49c | 159.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 72c | 120.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 29c | 120.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 77c | 107.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…776fbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…f9edbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Under | 50c | 47.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 72c | 46.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…8b25backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 37c | 36.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed Over | 59c | 32.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7b…332dbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 146 | 34.2%50 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 67c | 21.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)GIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.