UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x316bc1f9e9f8a35a93487db73742a8ebeefc4e18324771eb83c762ec506f414f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Muhammad Saidof Dustin Jacoby, Muhammad Said
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $310,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dustin Jacoby | 62c | 154,660$96,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,327.66 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Muhammad Said | 37c | 138,454$51,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,226.06 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Dustin Jacoby | 63c | 29,887$18,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,926.51 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Muhammad Said | 38c | 16,380$6,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,206.82 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Muhammad Said | 51c | 8,613$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.86 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Dustin Jacoby | 63c | 8,037$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050.15 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Muhammad Said | 36c | 7,306$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.74 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Muhammad Said | 55c | 6,944$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.9 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Dustin Jacoby | 12c | 6,751$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.65 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dustin Jacoby | 36c | 6,429$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.04 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Muhammad Said | 36c | 5,555$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.17 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Muhammad Said | 37c | 5,400$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Muhammad Said | 37c | 5,288$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.43 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Muhammad Said | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Dustin Jacoby | 62c | 4,909$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.65 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Dustin Jacoby | 63c | 4,465$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.64 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Muhammad Said | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.05 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Dustin Jacoby | 62c | 3,997$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.14 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Dustin Jacoby | 62c | 3,250$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed Muhammad Said | 64c | 3,100$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Muhammad Said | 38c | 2,907$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.45 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…ce4cbacked Muhammad Said | 46c | 2,718$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.52 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Muhammad Said | 37c | 2,537$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.56 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Dustin Jacoby | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Muhammad Said | 37c | 2,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.99 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…5ac7backed Dustin Jacoby | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.98 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…b4bebacked Muhammad Said | 76c | 1,986$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.38 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Muhammad Said | 36c | 1,728$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.67 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Dustin Jacoby | 26c | 1,631$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.65 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Dustin Jacoby | 63c | 1,501$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.04 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dustin Jacoby | 14c | 1,363$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Muhammad Said | 38c | 1,303$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.63 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Dustin Jacoby | 62c | 1,237$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.45 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Muhammad Said | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Dustin Jacoby | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.01 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Dustin Jacoby | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Muhammad Said | 37c | 1,065$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.62 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Muhammad Said | 38c | 999.95$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.97 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Dustin Jacoby | 24c | 919.82$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.23 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Muhammad Said | 63c | 899.99$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed Muhammad Said | 46c | 867.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Dustin Jacoby | 63c | 806.2$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Muhammad Said | 58c | 802.53$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.3 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Muhammad Said | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Muhammad Said | 63c | 794.56$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…3c67backed Dustin Jacoby | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Muhammad Said | 47c | 787$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.63 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Dustin Jacoby | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Dustin Jacoby | 11c | 736.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Dustin Jacoby | 62c | 713$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.06 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Muhammad Said | 56c | 709.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.81 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…b97dbacked Muhammad Said | 37c | 700.96$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…5dcebacked Muhammad Said | 65c | 700.77$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.27 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70c…72f7backed Dustin Jacoby | 63c | 697.8$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Dustin Jacoby | 46c | 686.71$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dustin Jacoby | 4c | 642.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Muhammad Said | 76c | 625.2$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Muhammad Said | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…4e52backed Muhammad Said | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…b8f5backed Dustin Jacoby | 3c | 524.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Muhammad Said | 38c | 515.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.91 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Dustin Jacoby | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Dustin Jacoby | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Muhammad Said | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Muhammad Said | 63c | 499.98$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Dustin Jacoby | 59c | 491.15$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.53 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ef…90e2backed Dustin Jacoby | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Muhammad Said | 55c | 455.61$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Muhammad Said | 44c | 455.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.47 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Muhammad Said | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Muhammad Said | 43c | 436.17$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.85 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Muhammad Said | 38c | 421.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Muhammad Said | 46c | 416.87$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.59 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Muhammad Said | 77c | 412.8$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…fcf8backed Dustin Jacoby | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Dustin Jacoby | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Muhammad Said | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Muhammad Said | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Muhammad Said | 69c | 386.59$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Dustin Jacoby | 13c | 385.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Muhammad Said | 45c | 380$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.09 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…8008backed Dustin Jacoby | 61c | 351$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.69 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Dustin Jacoby | 63c | 350$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb92…b1f8backed Dustin Jacoby | 64c | 327.06$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Dustin Jacoby | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…adc5backed Muhammad Said | 48c | 310.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Muhammad Said | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Muhammad Said | 38c | 293.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…2065backed Dustin Jacoby | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Dustin Jacoby | 59c | 279$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Muhammad Said | 38c | 270.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Muhammad Said | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…3c34backed Muhammad Said | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…eef1backed Muhammad Said | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Muhammad Said | 38c | 260.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.53 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Dustin Jacoby | 54c | 256$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd417…327abacked Muhammad Said | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…05e5backed Muhammad Said | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Dustin Jacoby | 63c | 240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…d67bbacked Dustin Jacoby | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Dustin Jacoby win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Muhammad Said win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.