Lol · resolved market
LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec4099a95ad5dbb51398c5a8ffd569766ba685c3c57cce7dde00112b4c4d4cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a86…4998backed Shifters | 8c | 42,980$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 184 | 29.9%55 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Shifters | 5c | 22,393$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.34 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Shifters | 7c | 12,915$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.05 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Shifters | 7c | 11,524$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.68 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Shifters | 1c | 11,453$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.53 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked Shifters | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 1.4%1 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Shifters | 4c | 9,666$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shifters | 7c | 6,768$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.73 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Shifters | 11c | 5,544$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Shifters | 1c | 5,130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Shifters | 7c | 4,432$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.64 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…5a43backed Shifters | 9c | 3,489$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Shifters | 6c | 3,096$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.77 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Shifters | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Shifters | 7c | 2,709$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…1654backed Shifters | 12c | 2,439$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Shifters | 11c | 2,411$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.25 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Shifters | 3c | 2,223$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Shifters | 5c | 2,203$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Shifters | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Shifters | 6c | 1,768$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Shifters | 1c | 1,640$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Shifters | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db8…b4c1backed Shifters | 4c | 1,450$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Shifters | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Shifters | 9c | 1,373$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 134 | 29.1%39 W · 95 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…50f6backed Shifters | 4c | 1,225$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Shifters | 7c | 1,196$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 337 | 38%128 W · 209 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c51…1fc1backed Shifters | 16c | 1,122$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Shifters | 11c | 1,116$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Shifters | 2c | 1,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0a…8df0backed Shifters | 12c | 864$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Shifters | 3c | 764.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Shifters | 4c | 694.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Shifters | 7c | 590.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 355 | 42.3%150 W · 205 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Shifters | 8c | 587.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Shifters | 3c | 582$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 148 | 7.4%11 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed Shifters | 6c | 572.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Shifters | 10c | 510$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Shifters | 6c | 508.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 170 | 32.4%55 W · 115 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Shifters | 6c | 463.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Shifters | 5c | 438.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Shifters | 9c | 434.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Shifters | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…d547backed Shifters | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 54.2%103 W · 87 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…69e5backed Shifters | 6c | 420$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 146 | 23.3%34 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Shifters | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…c18fbacked Shifters | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…f53cbacked Shifters | 17c | 343.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Shifters | 8c | 343.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…46aebacked Shifters | 7c | 337.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Shifters | 4c | 334.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,021 | 48%490 W · 531 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Shifters | 16c | 315.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 221 | 46.6%103 W · 118 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Shifters | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Shifters | 14c | 287.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…19f8backed Shifters | 6c | 281.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…4a81backed Shifters | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Shifters | 5c | 267.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…4b54backed Shifters | 19c | 258.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed Shifters | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shifters | 7c | 244.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Shifters | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 233 | 30%70 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…b25bbacked Shifters | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Shifters | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…6416backed Shifters | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…eb57backed Shifters | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | +244.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…13d6backed Shifters | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Shifters | 16c | 170$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Shifters | 8c | 157.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Shifters | 8c | 142.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6515…b867backed Shifters | 8c | 132.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 108 | 25.9%28 W · 80 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Shifters | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Shifters | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…142dbacked Shifters | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed G2 Esports | 76c | 121.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +23.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Shifters | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…e49fbacked Shifters | 20c | 90.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…794ebacked Shifters | 25c | 52.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.