Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf050d8a12171fb684c678fd40da0127d3c49d715de289e56fdf09723f8b2b7eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc800…4117backed Over | 22c | 1,864$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.12 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 78c | 1,679$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Over | 22c | 1,515$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.93 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 78c | 761.82$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.74 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 78c | 644.47$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Under | 77c | 391.09$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 22c | 375.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 36c | 354.41$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 58c | 338.88$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -14.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 72c | 255$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 21c | 250.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 79c | 147.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 23c | 109.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 60c | 102.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Under | 77c | 88.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 68c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 76.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 300 | 46%138 W · 162 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…16e6backed Over | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 21c | 56.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 381 | 55.1%210 W · 171 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked Under | 74c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Over | 33c | 34.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 554 | 28.7%159 W · 395 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Under | 77c | 30.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 276 | 68.1%188 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Under | 48c | 20.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Under | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.