Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Båstad Men: John Hallquist Lithen vs Davide Tortora
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x639519d145120a6ec737802edd42d86ae45b7a99e8681b94051975c6837b8eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- John Hallquist Lithenof John Hallquist Lithen, Davide Tortora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed John Hallquist Lithen | 75c | 1,914$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.52 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked Davide Tortora | 51c | 479$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Davide Tortora | 24c | 464.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Davide Tortora | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Davide Tortora | 5c | 256.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Davide Tortora | 25c | 247.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked John Hallquist Lithen | 63c | 205.29$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Davide Tortora | 24c | 202.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Davide Tortora | 16c | 173.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Davide Tortora | 35c | 133.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Davide Tortora | 24c | 105.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed John Hallquist Lithen | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Davide Tortora | 53c | 99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -10.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Davide Tortora | 36c | 84.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed John Hallquist Lithen | 68c | 74.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Davide Tortora | 17c | 74.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked John Hallquist Lithen | 75c | 66.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 240 | 39.2%94 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed John Hallquist Lithen | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Davide Tortora | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Davide Tortora | 33c | 39.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Davide Tortora | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed John Hallquist Lithen | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed John Hallquist Lithen | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed John Hallquist Lithen | 49c | 20.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Båstad Men: John Hallquist Lithen vs Davide Tortorathis page
- ITF M15 Båstad Men: Completed Match: John Hallquist Lithen vs Davide TortoraYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.