Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4c76d1ee2473d05f2d090db41803f9f5f7e007a072fe62beeb45836b5a5a528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 36c | 6,677$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.37 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Under | 62c | 4,452$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.25 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 39c | 3,169$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.97 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Under | 64c | 2,304$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.56 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 68c | 2,114$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.8 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked Under | 64c | 1,893$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 38c | 1,600$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.02 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Under | 64c | 1,301$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.5 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 24c | 907.7$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 62c | 898.12$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.83 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 37c | 590.36$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.38 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Under | 63c | 472.22$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Under | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 54c | 329.91$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.02 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 35c | 297.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 286.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 36c | 257.37$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.72 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 63c | 240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Under | 63c | 220.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 63c | 195.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Under | 45c | 171.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 38c | 162.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4811…0d23backed Under | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 64c | 157$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…f245backed Under | 62c | 152.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Under | 52c | 142.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 62c | 131.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 24c | 120.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…c2d0backed Under | 64c | 113.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…cec2backed Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 42c | 102.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 79c | 90.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 72c | 86.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…026dbacked Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…b040backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 37c | 74.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…84a5backed Over | 38c | 71.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Under | 63c | 69.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 38c | 58.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 62c | 51.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…fe9dbacked Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 55c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 35c | 45.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 63c | 43.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 43c | 37.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Over | 52c | 35.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 41c | 34.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4d…975bbacked Over | 37c | 33.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 73c | 33.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Under | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Under | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 56c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…4a96backed Under | 63c | 18.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.