CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ba5d36a6c383dcf42fd7ab2a79bd7247ffe03941776c7f49de0c8a9b001ecec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Imperial | 55c | 26,537$14,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,987.35 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 55c | 18,025$9,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,118.9 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Isurus | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,749.99 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Isurus | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Isurus | 45c | 9,435$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.7 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Isurus | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Isurus | 45c | 1,555$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.75 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Isurus | 45c | 1,525$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.33 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Isurus | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Isurus | 46c | 1,474$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.97 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked Isurus | 46c | 1,337$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.02 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Imperial | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Imperial | 54c | 740.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.73 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed Isurus | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Isurus | 46c | 409.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Imperial | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Isurus | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Isurus | 46c | 309.4$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Isurus | 46c | 285.63$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Isurus | 46c | 283.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Isurus | 46c | 254.93$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Imperial | 53c | 252.59$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.71 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Isurus | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Isurus | 46c | 215.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Isurus | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…13a8backed Isurus | 47c | 192$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked Imperial | 55c | 135.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Imperial | 55c | 109.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Isurus | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Imperial | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Imperial | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…2b72backed Imperial | 55c | 97.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Imperial | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…7f56backed Imperial | 55c | 67.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Isurus | 46c | 64.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Imperial | 54c | 60.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ac…eb32backed Isurus | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Imperial | 55c | 38.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…67b5backed Isurus | 46c | 30.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Isurus | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Imperial | 55c | 29.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3abfbacked Imperial | 55c | 27.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Imperial | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…3ae0backed Isurus | 46c | 21.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Isurus | 46c | 21.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ea…15cbbacked Imperial | 55c | 18.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.