CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe84403530dfbbce2d2cddde0c7487f9e013ce86445b86fa8594c8ea5933663ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Isurus | 27c | 1,106$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.64 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Imperial | 77c | 555.87$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 73c | 501.52$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…f4c7backed Isurus | 26c | 499.68$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Imperial | 77c | 453$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Imperial | 71c | 361.2$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Isurus | 32c | 324.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Imperial | 67c | 313.58$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 352 | 44.6%157 W · 195 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…58debacked Isurus | 33c | 308.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Isurus | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Imperial | 73c | 216.51$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Imperial | 69c | 198.91$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Imperial | 64c | 168.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Isurus | 7c | 158$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Isurus | 7c | 142.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 26.3%61 W · 171 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Isurus | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Isurus | 29c | 128.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 328 | 40.2%132 W · 196 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b17…2aa5backed Isurus | 32c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Isurus | 13c | 92.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Isurus | 32c | 88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Isurus | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Isurus | 26c | 70.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Isurus | 31c | 65.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Imperial | 66c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Isurus | 33c | 48.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Isurus | 39c | 45.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Imperial | 65c | 31.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Imperial | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Imperial | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 169 | 67.5%114 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Imperial | 68c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Imperial | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Imperial | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.