CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d0482758dd150b337cfe13aa76de229aa8aee91aad166699fcdfe37a96c393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Isurus | 18c | 4,603$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.47 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Imperial | 80c | 1,956$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.22 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed Isurus | 16c | 1,848$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.2 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Isurus | 19c | 1,337$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Isurus | 19c | 1,103$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.48 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Isurus | 19c | 1,039$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Isurus | 19c | 713$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbc…e9d7backed Isurus | 20c | 711.48$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…000dbacked Isurus | 18c | 535$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Isurus | 20c | 489.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Isurus | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Isurus | 16c | 460.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Isurus | 7c | 398.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Isurus | 14c | 327.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Isurus | 22c | 205$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Isurus | 19c | 196.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…8c5cbacked Isurus | 19c | 190.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Isurus | 20c | 186.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…f347backed Isurus | 20c | 186.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed Isurus | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Isurus | 13c | 179.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Isurus | 19c | 158$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Isurus | 20c | 147.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Imperial | 80c | 128.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Isurus | 15c | 124.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Isurus | 19c | 118.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Isurus | 18c | 115.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Isurus | 19c | 99.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Imperial | 77c | 95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Isurus | 24c | 80.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Isurus | 20c | 75.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Imperial | 78c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Imperial | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Isurus | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Isurus | 21c | 54.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Imperial | 80c | 49.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…13e3backed Imperial | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.