Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eb13e20aee8bf984108f1424160e97a012fb306a9f896940cfa2d87196aed0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad1e…ccacbacked No | 1c | 8,215$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +11.6wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked No | 57c | 6,848$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.49 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 75c | 5,702$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.13 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 54c | 5,651$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.6 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 53c | 3,992$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.48 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 9c | 2,486$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.66 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…e31abacked No | 19c | 2,408$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.7 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 30c | 2,169$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.27 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 80c | 2,152$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.26 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 48c | 1,921$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.95 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 39c | 1,816$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.7 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 31c | 1,379$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.03 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 31c | 1,373$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.19 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…669ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,339$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.29 | 66 | 10.6%7 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…9e92backed No | 51c | 1,157$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 9c | 780.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 50c | 695.24$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.78 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 34c | 690.07$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.32 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…7a17backed Yes | 68c | 672.85$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.91 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed Yes | 27c | 643.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.65 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…a2b6backed No | 2c | 637.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 7c | 535$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…e282backed Yes | 23c | 516.21$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…fda6backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…3554backed Yes | 29c | 474.16$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.75 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 27c | 460.18$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.31 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 31c | 457.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.31 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 73c | 453.74$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…0e23backed No | 8c | 450.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 435.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.94 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed No | 20c | 432.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 61c | 423.19$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.71 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed No | 8c | 398.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 14c | 396.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 44c | 382.93$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.03 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…4636backed Yes | 32c | 352.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…55edbacked Yes | 24c | 344.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.61 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 58c | 336.65$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…c4b7backed Yes | 19c | 331.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.14 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +233%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 61c | 327.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 59c | 306.17$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 22c | 299.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.99 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 15c | 281.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.09 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 32c | 264.7$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…12bfbacked Yes | 12c | 263.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +744.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 12c | 249.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.65 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 66c | 248.68$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed No | 26c | 236$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a2…4240backed Yes | 20c | 227.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.73 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 227$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 14c | 225$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.75 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Yes | 68c | 220.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 39c | 218$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 205.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 9c | 203.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…2895backed Yes | 16c | 194.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.92 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 34c | 190.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 23c | 184.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 11c | 173.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef6a…18e8backed No | 76c | 171.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.36 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…847fbacked Yes | 42c | 169.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 60c | 167.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 20c | 166.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.64 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 18c | 162.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…78b8backed Yes | 14c | 155$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…ae14backed Yes | 25c | 150.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 39c | 150.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 58c | 147.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 14c | 147.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 56c | 136.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…308bbacked Yes | 25c | 135.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 37c | 135.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc06…0db6backed Yes | 19c | 135.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…f7d8backed No | 14c | 131.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 28c | 127.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe508…5885backed Yes | 44c | 126.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…63d3backed Yes | 79c | 125.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked Yes | 65c | 121.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes | 56c | 120.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 23c | 120.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…316dbacked Yes | 24c | 114.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed Yes | 14c | 112.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…dc40backed No | 31c | 112.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…17acbacked Yes | 25c | 109.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 42c | 108.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…3f6dbacked No | 23c | 107.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…c993backed No | 15c | 107.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd9…ad53backed Yes | 71c | 104.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…2359backed No | 11c | 103.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 23c | 102.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbd…b40ebacked Yes | 38c | 100.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 64c | 100.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…4dadbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…111ebacked Yes | 34c | 99.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.