TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, EDward Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,328 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked EDward Gaming64c12,682$8,131 inLost-$8,131.496048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed EDward Gaming65c8,000$5,200 inLost-$5,2001250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked LGD Gaming35c6,695$2,342 inWon+$4,353.5614342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked LGD Gaming35c2,222$778 inWon+$1,444.2629236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked EDward Gaming53c1,339$713 inLost-$712.8334151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed LGD Gaming36c1,000$360 inWon+$64017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124e…1c58backed EDward Gaming66c939.94$619 inLost-$61916954.4%92 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed LGD Gaming36c888.89$320 inWon+$568.8910746.7%50 W · 57 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked LGD Gaming39c886.79$342 inWon+$544.842,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a26…1589backed LGD Gaming65c769.69$500 inWon+$269.6919147.1%90 W · 101 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed LGD Gaming36c722.94$260 inWon+$462.681,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed EDward Gaming35c710.57$249 inLost-$249.0237948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed EDward Gaming64c700$448 inLost-$4481,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0160…1224backed LGD Gaming36c695$250 inWon+$444.823639.8%94 W · 142 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed LGD Gaming41c666.78$271 inWon+$395.52,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LGD Gaming37c634.91$233 inWon+$401.762,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed LGD Gaming35c571.43$200 inWon+$371.4339541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf19…79bbbacked LGD Gaming36c555.78$200 inWon+$355.7816858.9%99 W · 69 L+18.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed LGD Gaming35c499.99$175 inWon+$32518831.4%59 W · 129 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed LGD Gaming36c467.89$168 inWon+$299.4520150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked LGD Gaming36c464.56$167 inWon+$297.3263944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed LGD Gaming35c382$134 inWon+$248.346050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked LGD Gaming36c360.99$130 inWon+$230.9135848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed LGD Gaming35c341.34$119 inWon+$221.871,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed EDward Gaming65c328.2$213 inLost-$213.3334340.5%139 W · 204 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked EDward Gaming65c307.69$200 inLost-$20022562.2%140 W · 85 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c3…1331backed EDward Gaming65c300$195 inLost-$19518553%98 W · 87 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13ba…53e4backed LGD Gaming36c277.78$100 inWon+$177.7811943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed LGD Gaming36c252.97$91 inWon+$161.926440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked LGD Gaming33c251.99$83 inWon+$168.8348847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed LGD Gaming74c250$186 inWon+$64.197854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed LGD Gaming48c225$108 inWon+$116.720748.8%101 W · 106 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked EDward Gaming52c200$104 inLost-$10421652.3%113 W · 103 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked LGD Gaming36c125$45 inWon+$8014546.9%68 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed EDward Gaming37c121.62$44 inLost-$44.4152750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacd…4d5abacked LGD Gaming59c119.5$70 inWon+$49.57347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd1…cd25backed LGD Gaming36c108.1$39 inWon+$69.184557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed LGD Gaming35c100$35 inWon+$6546248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x173e…9ff4backed EDward Gaming63c100$63 inLost-$636149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d45…1c86backed EDward Gaming66c100$66 inLost-$6612251.6%63 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked LGD Gaming36c99.56$36 inWon+$63.7244745.2%202 W · 245 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked LGD Gaming35c89.99$32 inWon+$58.1961746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked EDward Gaming65c76.92$50 inLost-$5077741.7%324 W · 453 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed EDward Gaming65c76.92$50 inLost-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c1a…0db5backed EDward Gaming46c72.94$33 inLost-$33.48646.5%40 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91dc…ca3abacked LGD Gaming35c60$21 inWon+$396446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ce…3f1dbacked LGD Gaming35c57.14$20 inWon+$37.1418357.4%105 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed LGD Gaming35c57$20 inWon+$37.053554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked LGD Gaming36c55.56$20 inWon+$35.5613964%89 W · 50 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd57a…58e1backed LGD Gaming36c41.67$15 inWon+$26.671250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1da2…9030backed EDward Gaming66c41.45$27 inLost-$27.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4c…f414backed LGD Gaming36c36$13 inWon+$23.21080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36de…cf07backed LGD Gaming42c35.83$15 inWon+$20.8315359.5%91 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ea…15cbbacked LGD Gaming35c35.42$12 inWon+$23.021855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3a6…52d2backed EDward Gaming65c33.85$22 inLost-$2234667.6%234 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked LGD Gaming36c33.33$12 inWon+$21.3364435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked EDward Gaming57c30$17 inLost-$17.160243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b2…9980backed LGD Gaming35c30$11 inWon+$19.511843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a4a…4b20backed EDward Gaming65c26.12$17 inLost-$16.984475%33 W · 11 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc6dc…58d5backed LGD Gaming48c21.63$10 inWon+$11.2321652.3%113 W · 103 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed EDward Gaming65c16.77$11 inLost-$10.96454.7%35 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.