Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02869a3663f5f7f1f768a5818a9841352bc62a3cfebb517f8d5fc1c77a5e56a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Phoenixof Dark Passage, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Dark Passage | 0c | 10,937$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Dark Passage | 2c | 3,475$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Team Phoenix | 46c | 2,441$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.8 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Dark Passage | 1c | 1,969$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…c5bfbacked Dark Passage | 23c | 1,516$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…c71ebacked Dark Passage | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…532bbacked Dark Passage | 1c | 1,144$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…097cbacked Dark Passage | 8c | 1,100$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Dark Passage | 6c | 1,078$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ee…4d54backed Team Phoenix | 19c | 1,063$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Dark Passage | 73c | 1,043$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.7 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0215…8cc2backed Dark Passage | 2c | 1,010$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf022…1ae9backed Dark Passage | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Dark Passage | 8c | 960.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Team Phoenix | 22c | 770.22$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.24 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c96…5da9backed Dark Passage | 57c | 500.44$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Dark Passage | 78c | 409.73$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.89 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Phoenix | 14c | 400$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Phoenix | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Team Phoenix | 17c | 367.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Dark Passage | 65c | 312.5$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Team Phoenix | 9c | 276.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.69 | 189 | 14.8%28 W · 161 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Phoenix | 26c | 200.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Phoenix | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Team Phoenix | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d7…8a57backed Dark Passage | 28c | 180.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e86…2db2backed Team Phoenix | 11c | 140$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 246 | 29.7%73 W · 173 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Team Phoenix | 18c | 136.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Phoenix | 50c | 106.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Phoenix | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e4…8672backed Team Phoenix | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Phoenix | 18c | 95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked Team Phoenix | 49c | 91.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed Team Phoenix | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Group ADark Passage won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerDark Passage won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.