Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis (BO3)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a2a0f7a3d1003f5dbb257d06ea93f295c059ab50154c73ef46a55f1ff38e57e

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ivoryof Ivory, Team Nemesis
Resolved: Jan 9, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $72,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,606 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5a44…e974backed Team Nemesis	0c	17,445$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Ivory	75c	5,888$4,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,484.52	344	68.9%237 W · 107 L	+26.3wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Ivory	50c	3,050$1,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,517.48	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Nemesis	27c	2,372$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.27	793	41.7%331 W · 462 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Ivory	20c	2,147$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,718.15	113	46.9%53 W · 60 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Ivory	27c	2,138$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,553.26	465	35.1%163 W · 302 L	+22.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Nemesis	48c	1,289$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.39	477	48.6%232 W · 245 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Ivory	15c	1,200$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.08	491	33.6%165 W · 326 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6674…a361backed Team Nemesis	1c	1,180$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked Team Nemesis	2c	1,158$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.48	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6bb…d732backed Team Nemesis	70c	1,027$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.22	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis	71c	982.63$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.47	738	41.7%308 W · 430 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis	59c	950.08$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.12	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Ivory	27c	924.02$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672.46	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2fb…1425backed Ivory	33c	916.41$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.41	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2471…8622backed Team Nemesis	20c	910.52$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.1	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Team Nemesis	20c	884.42$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.68	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Team Nemesis	18c	747.14$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.32	120	50.8%61 W · 59 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Ivory	49c	731.55$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.27	410	55.6%228 W · 182 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Nemesis	64c	663.44$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.13	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Team Nemesis	79c	632.91$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	+8.2wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Team Nemesis	12c	600$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Ivory	28c	568.98$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.83	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Team Nemesis	64c	562.6$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	66cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Team Nemesis	73c	520$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.7	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Team Nemesis	76c	483.67$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.3	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Team Nemesis	12c	450$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	72	26.4%19 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Team Nemesis	77c	443.5$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.71	161	60.2%97 W · 64 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Ivory	4c	401.55$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.49	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.22per pick	3cpaid	+462.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Ivory	16c	389.6$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.63	168	35.7%60 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Ivory	32c	388.97$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.51	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Team Nemesis	79c	381.84$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Nemesis	27c	378$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.58	547	53.6%293 W · 254 L	+22.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Ivory	70c	307.12$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.68	774	58.5%453 W · 321 L	+75.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Ivory	15c	299.99$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	170	23.5%40 W · 130 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis	63c	299.07$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.9	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Team Nemesis	34c	280.92$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.63	145	37.2%54 W · 91 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Ivory	70c	271.96$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.94	920	56.4%519 W · 401 L	+78.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4d3…edb6backed Team Nemesis	14c	249.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1285…51c8backed Team Nemesis	32c	240$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Team Nemesis	25c	237.02$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.32	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41f…c71ebacked Ivory	53c	220.8$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.12	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…c9bcbacked Team Nemesis	31c	217$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.06	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Ivory	9c	211$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Team Nemesis	70c	191.53$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	135	57.8%78 W · 57 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Ivory	15c	179.26$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.17	328	6.4%21 W · 307 L	-102.4wins	-0.31per pick	38cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	18-0.29 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Ivory	12c	164.13$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.12	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Team Nemesis	64c	163.22$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.7	117	53%62 W · 55 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Team Nemesis	12c	150$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	61	3.3%2 W · 59 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-61%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Team Nemesis	71c	150$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb0…c508backed Ivory	15c	136.08$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.14	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+97.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Team Nemesis	76c	131.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Team Nemesis	78c	128.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	68cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked Team Nemesis	33c	120.45$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.42	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Ivory	21c	119.4$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.98	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Nemesis	40c	117.33$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.93	615	48.8%300 W · 315 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Ivory	19c	111.3$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.74	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…3f30backed Ivory	11c	110$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.9	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	7cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02fa…bd0fbacked Team Nemesis	62c	102$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Team Nemesis	10c	100.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+51.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ivory	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.5	378	32.5%123 W · 255 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Nemesis	80c	100$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	186	49.5%92 W · 94 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Team Nemesis	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+29%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdff…265ebacked Team Nemesis	69c	99.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Ivory	21c	87.43$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.39	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc461…d4afbacked Ivory	23c	86.96$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ivory	17c	73.66$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.28	605	42.6%258 W · 347 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d1…73d5backed Team Nemesis	40c	70$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca2e…88f5backed Team Nemesis	66c	66.65$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x031f…01afbacked Ivory	72c	58.78$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.28	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+2.6wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3dc…ece8backed Ivory	26c	57.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.41	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a10…cf6cbacked Ivory	19c	54.58$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.38	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Ivory	26c	54.33$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.38	616	9.7%60 W · 556 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82c6…e6c0backed Team Nemesis	19c	52$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2964…9d6abacked Team Nemesis	62c	51.78$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Ivory	23c	51.53$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.68	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4615…07d9backed Ivory	25c	51$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.75per pick	25cpaid	+300%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Ivory	34c	50.87$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.78	176	47.2%83 W · 93 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Ivory	24c	50.17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.16	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Team Nemesis	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Ivory	31c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Team Nemesis	75c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc393…590abacked Team Nemesis	68c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	238	49.6%118 W · 120 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3d9…72aabacked Team Nemesis	48c	45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x906e…e7e6backed Team Nemesis	77c	44$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b18…786ebacked Team Nemesis	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Ivory	30c	40$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	+12.2wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Ivory	65c	38.12$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.34	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Ivory	27c	37.08$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.95	522	43.9%229 W · 293 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7378…2abfbacked Team Nemesis	62c	32.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9227…56bebacked Team Nemesis	73c	27.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	75cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Team Nemesis	54c	27.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-12.0wins	-0.25per pick	36cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	32-0.17 edge/pick
0x223f…5e6abacked Ivory	76c	26.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.26	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc101…98edbacked Team Nemesis	77c	25.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Team Nemesis	70c	21.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	66cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe6f…3224backed Team Nemesis	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d4…b96cbacked Team Nemesis	74c	16.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.85	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Team Nemesis	72c	15.28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	68	67.6%46 W · 22 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…eb47backed Team Nemesis	76c	13.15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.6wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis (BO3)this page
Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerIvory won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis (BO3)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event