Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b96becabe0d45447d28368a20df4216ac9a6dadb9401113ba1e1664bf25a394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Zero Tenacity, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 22c | 10,533$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.18 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed MOUZ | 78c | 6,242$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.27 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Zero Tenacity | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 79c | 4,845$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.11 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Zero Tenacity | 22c | 4,501$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.04 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked MOUZ | 77c | 2,100$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.67 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Zero Tenacity | 19c | 1,940$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.22 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MOUZ | 80c | 1,526$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.3 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked MOUZ | 79c | 1,100$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1457…8896backed MOUZ | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Zero Tenacity | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 910.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 77c | 906.73$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.08 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed MOUZ | 78c | 679.99$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed MOUZ | 77c | 674.62$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 662.34$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Zero Tenacity | 16c | 621.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Zero Tenacity | 21c | 619.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ce…2054backed MOUZ | 77c | 608.95$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 567.31$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 500$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…1457backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 464.68$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Zero Tenacity | 27c | 369.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Zero Tenacity | 13c | 295$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ | 78c | 286.27$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked MOUZ | 75c | 274.11$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 210.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 207.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed MOUZ | 80c | 195$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…82b5backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 173.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed MOUZ | 77c | 167.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3827…e862backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 166.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…e1a3backed MOUZ | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 111.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Zero Tenacity | 24c | 104.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 101.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed Zero Tenacity | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…e50bbacked MOUZ | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed MOUZ | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Zero Tenacity | 18c | 88.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…07cdbacked MOUZ | 79c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed MOUZ | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 53.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed MOUZ | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb93…ebe7backed MOUZ | 78c | 47.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed MOUZ | 80c | 37.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ff…485cbacked MOUZ | 77c | 36.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…fc41backed MOUZ | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed MOUZ | 79c | 31.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked MOUZ | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…ef89backed MOUZ | 80c | 22.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed MOUZ | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.