Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf02f703d1d226c5a635dccda3553832d3a0625f740c5c6d113341eb1d5baab1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Zero Tenacity, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6438…fc41backed Zero Tenacity | 4c | 5,648$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…60f1backed Zero Tenacity | 12c | 4,098$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Zero Tenacity | 10c | 1,800$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Zero Tenacity | 10c | 1,630$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.39 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…d1d0backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 1,620$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zero Tenacity | 8c | 727.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Zero Tenacity | 4c | 666.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…df9abacked Zero Tenacity | 17c | 660$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Zero Tenacity | 9c | 599.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0143backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 560$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 517.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…21cdbacked Zero Tenacity | 16c | 515.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Zero Tenacity | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Zero Tenacity | 3c | 499.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…66aebacked Zero Tenacity | 17c | 460$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Zero Tenacity | 6c | 440$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 402.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Zero Tenacity | 4c | 330.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…82b5backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 239.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Zero Tenacity | 7c | 204.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50f…c837backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 203.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…27dbbacked Zero Tenacity | 11c | 176.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…91d0backed Zero Tenacity | 9c | 150.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Zero Tenacity | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 102.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 75.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.