Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd32199948bef14cd7c740164fef9074ee620fe1472ee496f93df0226996ee97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Zero Tenacity, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 73c | 5,126$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.51 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 4,287$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.09 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 76c | 3,625$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.26 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 1,941$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.68 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 26c | 1,375$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.84 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 1,155$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.19 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 795$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.84 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Zero Tenacity | 23c | 724.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 652$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.07 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed MOUZ | 79c | 401.46$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed MOUZ | 71c | 357.25$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zero Tenacity | 23c | 349.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed MOUZ | 76c | 299.98$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a1…d123backed Zero Tenacity | 21c | 281.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed MOUZ | 78c | 129.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked MOUZ | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Zero Tenacity | 26c | 98.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed MOUZ | 65c | 81.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…e1a3backed MOUZ | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zero Tenacity | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Zero Tenacity | 36c | 36.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3e…cbb1backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 34.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed MOUZ | 79c | 24.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…4d07backed MOUZ | 78c | 16.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed MOUZ | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.