CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84c9740bf64849e40d22a7bf13156a4d994fb70a7b30ab7a537b12ddcbee014d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, GenOne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga | 65c | 5,557$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.51 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked GenOne | 37c | 5,477$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GenOne | 29c | 3,325$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.7 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Nemiga | 60c | 1,100$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.98 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Nemiga | 73c | 535$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Nemiga | 73c | 500$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.14 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…082bbacked Nemiga | 77c | 492.73$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Nemiga | 77c | 377.7$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed GenOne | 30c | 327.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…f447backed Nemiga | 60c | 230.06$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked GenOne | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed GenOne | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Nemiga | 76c | 183.92$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Nemiga | 65c | 178.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed GenOne | 27c | 157.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed GenOne | 26c | 139.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked Nemiga | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…5271backed GenOne | 37c | 119.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…82b5backed GenOne | 49c | 109.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked GenOne | 18c | 106.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed GenOne | 25c | 90.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Nemiga | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b86…7899backed Nemiga | 63c | 74.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…4cc6backed Nemiga | 69c | 72.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed GenOne | 49c | 71.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…cd60backed GenOne | 40c | 58.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…d904backed GenOne | 25c | 48.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Nemiga | 67c | 47.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…fe42backed GenOne | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Nemiga | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…e1a3backed Nemiga | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…19bfbacked Nemiga | 78c | 38.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Nemiga | 71c | 36.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed GenOne | 39c | 34.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…3290backed GenOne | 52c | 33.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7159…7cfcbacked GenOne | 61c | 28.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Nemiga | 69c | 27.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…aec0backed GenOne | 61c | 26.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Nemiga | 54c | 25.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Nemiga | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Nemiga | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Nemiga | 70c | 16.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Nemiga | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…6700backed Nemiga | 74c | 14.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group StageNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.