Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83523bc6db37594f5dec3c410db310769b59818741ced26fd4c2528244655332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Pipsqueak+4 | 15c | 812.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pipsqueak+4 | 17c | 715.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 633.53$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.33 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 553$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.78 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Pipsqueak+4 | 27c | 518.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 27c | 500.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 28c | 312.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 268$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 29c | 254.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…36f2backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 253.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Pipsqueak+4 | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed Pipsqueak+4 | 28c | 194$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 159.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 138.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 134$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Pipsqueak+4 | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Pipsqueak+4 | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 95.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 23c | 76.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 67.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…2922backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 65.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a8e7backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…b56abacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 55.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Pipsqueak+4 | 28c | 55.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeece…af69backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…18e9backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…e7a8backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad75…1ca5backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c72…5419backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ff…d1d3backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…7e21backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 47.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…37bcbacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 46.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621d…fc14backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 45.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…2c14backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…87b2backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b7…fa64backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…fcdbbacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…61a8backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…ee5cbacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20d…332dbacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…ebdcbacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95a…4926backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…7013backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bda…a68abacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…dbd3backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb94…eb89backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 35.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…5549backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 17.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.