Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tommy Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f2bf9414f73ecb31661df5990072683159a32a91996ec8692fd8cef7b139e63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulof Vukic, Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vukic | 20c | 17,480$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.09 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vukic | 9c | 10,787$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.99 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Vukic | 18c | 5,000$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed Vukic | 20c | 4,951$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Vukic | 11c | 4,296$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.04 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Vukic | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Paul | 77c | 1,392$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.06 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vukic | 14c | 1,385$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vukic | 12c | 1,278$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.65 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vukic | 20c | 1,163$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Vukic | 17c | 1,160$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.77 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Vukic | 21c | 1,120$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.16 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Vukic | 20c | 1,075$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vukic | 19c | 1,031$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Vukic | 20c | 1,013$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 650 | 40%260 W · 390 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Vukic | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Vukic | 19c | 789$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Vukic | 13c | 771.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vukic | 18c | 749.17$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vukic | 6c | 668.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Vukic | 6c | 663$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Vukic | 13c | 494.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Vukic | 7c | 475.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Vukic | 7c | 432.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Paul | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Vukic | 7c | 385.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Paul | 79c | 325.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Vukic | 18c | 278.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vukic | 10c | 268.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…9291backed Vukic | 23c | 264.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…3652backed Paul | 76c | 262.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Vukic | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Paul | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Vukic | 28c | 190.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Vukic | 12c | 164.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Vukic | 21c | 161.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff59…dc24backed Vukic | 6c | 161.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Vukic | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Vukic | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Vukic | 18c | 134.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…196bbacked Paul | 80c | 121.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Vukic | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Vukic | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Vukic | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Vukic | 20c | 92.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Vukic | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Vukic | 20c | 84.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Paul | 77c | 75.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e22…e694backed Vukic | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Paul | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21e…297bbacked Vukic | 25c | 47.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Vukic | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Paul | 76c | 39.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…b642backed Paul | 77c | 30.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5163…9a4fbacked Paul | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…dfb9backed Paul | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…1770backed Paul | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Paul | 80c | 24.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…0ca1backed Paul | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked Paul | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 79cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tommy Paulthis page
- Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Vukic (+1.5)Paul won
- Vukic vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Vukic vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.